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Is PVH (PVH) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($117.36 a share) would return about 1% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $71.21 a share (−21% against today's $90.28). Historically 4.8% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.95× the average).

Share price$90.28
Offer at +30%$117.36
Buyer's IRR1%
Most for 20%$71.21
EV / EBITDA8.8×
Buyout debt5.5× EBITDA

The buyout, step by step

EntryAmountHow
Offer price a share$117.36today's $90.28 plus 30%
× shares46.1 million
= Equity value$5.4B
+ Debt refinanced$2.2B
− Cash$966M
= Enterprise value$6.7B10.8× EBITDA of $619M
Fees$134M2% of the price
New debt$3.4B5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA
Buyer's own money$3.4B50% of the cost

5 years under the buyer

PVH: buyout debt left, year by yearPVH: buyout debt left, year by year$3.4BEntry$3.2BYear 1$3.1BYear 2$2.9BYear 3$2.7BYear 4$2.5BYear 5
Free cash flow after interest and tax repays the debt; a shortfall is borrowed.
YearRevenueEBITDAInterestFree cash flowDebt left
Year 1$9.1B$629M$260M$159M$3.2B
Year 2$9.2B$641M$248M$171M$3.1B
Year 3$9.5B$656M$235M$185M$2.9B
Year 4$9.7B$674M$221M$201M$2.7B
Year 5$10.0B$694M$206M$219M$2.5B

The exit and the buyer's return

ExitAmount
Exit multiple8.8× EBITDAtoday's trading multiple, before any premium
Enterprise value at exit$6.1B
− Debt left$2.5B
= Buyer's equity$3.6B
Money multiple1.06×on $3.4B put in
Buyer's yearly return (IRR)1.2%

Price against return

What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $90.28; the IRR reaches 20% at $71.21 a share.

PremiumPrice a shareBuyer's IRR
10%$99.307.2%
20%$108.333.9%
30%$117.361.2%
40%$126.39−1.1%
50%$135.41−3.2%

The figures used

FigureAmount
Revenue, last 12 months$8.9B
EBITDA, last 12 months$619M6.9% of revenue
Depreciation and amortization$256M
Capital spending$160M
Debt$2.2B
Cash$966M
Share price$90.28on Nov 6, 2026

Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 1.6% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 30% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, PVH would cost about $119.61 a share, $5.5B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$108.33$5.0B
Median32.5%$119.61$5.5B
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$137.04$6.3B

The odds, from history

Historically 4.8% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.95× the average). Its figures put it in decile 5 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

PVH's latest quarter

PVH, Q2 FY27: revenue $2.1B (-3% year over year), operating margin -9.1%, net loss $103M, operating cash flow $383M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is PVH being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy PVH?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($117.36 a share) would return about 1% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $71.21 a share (−21% against today's $90.28).

What would a takeover of PVH cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, PVH would cost about $119.61 a share, $5.5B for all its shares.

Open the interactive view →

Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.