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Is RH (RH) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($179.92 a share) would return about 3% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $91.72 a share (−34% against today's $138.40).

Share price$138.40
Offer at +30%$179.92
Buyer's IRR3%
Most for 20%$91.72
EV / EBITDA9.9×
Buyout debt5.5× EBITDA

The buyout, step by step

EntryAmountHow
Offer price a share$179.92today's $138.40 plus 30%
× shares19.7 million
= Equity value$3.5B
+ Debt refinanced$2.4B
− Cash$125M
= Enterprise value$5.8B11.5× EBITDA of $503M
Fees$116M2% of the price
New debt$2.8B5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA
Buyer's own money$3.1B53% of the cost

5 years under the buyer

RH: buyout debt left, year by yearRH: buyout debt left, year by year$2.8BEntry$2.7BYear 1$2.6BYear 2$2.5BYear 3$2.4BYear 4$2.3BYear 5
Free cash flow after interest and tax repays the debt; a shortfall is borrowed.
YearRevenueEBITDAInterestFree cash flowDebt left
Year 1$3.6B$519M$211M$76.5M$2.7B
Year 2$3.7B$536M$206M$88.6M$2.6B
Year 3$3.8B$553M$199M$101M$2.5B
Year 4$3.9B$570M$191M$115M$2.4B
Year 5$4.0B$588M$182M$129M$2.3B

The exit and the buyer's return

ExitAmount
Exit multiple9.9× EBITDAtoday's trading multiple, before any premium
Enterprise value at exit$5.8B
− Debt left$2.3B
= Buyer's equity$3.6B
Money multiple1.13×on $3.1B put in
Buyer's yearly return (IRR)2.5%

Price against return

What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $138.40; the IRR reaches 20% at $91.72 a share.

PremiumPrice a shareBuyer's IRR
10%$152.246.6%
20%$166.084.5%
30%$179.922.5%
40%$193.760.8%
50%$207.60−0.8%

The figures used

FigureAmount
Revenue, last 12 months$3.4B
EBITDA, last 12 months$503M14.6% of revenue
Depreciation and amortization$158M
Capital spending$175M
Debt$2.4B
Cash$125M
Share price$138.40on Nov 5, 2026

Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 3.3% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 27% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, RH would cost about $183.38 a share, $3.6B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$166.08$3.3B
Median32.5%$183.38$3.6B
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$210.09$4.1B

RH's latest quarter

RH, Q2 FY27: revenue $922M (+3% year over year), operating margin 11.7%, net earnings $60.2M, operating cash flow $145M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is RH being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy RH?

A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($179.92 a share) would return about 3% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; the most a buyer could pay for a 20% return is $91.72 a share (−34% against today's $138.40).

What would a takeover of RH cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, RH would cost about $183.38 a share, $3.6B for all its shares.

Open the interactive view →

Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.