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Riot Platforms (RIOT) stock forecast and fair value

Riot Platforms (RIOT) trades at $16.47. 22 analysts' median price target is $28.25 (+72%), from $13.00 to $42.00. Across 12 valuation methods the middle fair value is $5.56 (-66%).

Price$16.47
Median target$28.25
Fair value, middle$5.56
EPS beat rate40%
Riot Platforms fair value by method (price $16.47)Riot Platforms fair value by method (price $16.47)low – highpoint estimateEV/Sales vs peers$5.63EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$10.69Residual income−$2.69Analysts' price targets$28.34Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$0.11Tangible book (asset value)$5.50Survival-weighted value$5.56Stage-weighted value (decline / tur…$5.56Combined forecast (3 months)$17.13Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can …$0.77

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
EV/Sales vs peers$2.37$5.63$8.47-66%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$7.54$10.69$17.05-35%
Residual income−$2.64−$2.69−$2.75-116%
Analysts' price targets$13.00$28.34$42.00+72%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$0.10$0.11$0.12-99%
Tangible book (asset value)$4.40$5.50$5.50-67%
Survival-weighted value$2.49$5.56$8.22-66%
Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround)$3.21$5.56$7.22-66%
Combined forecast (3 months)$13.49$17.13$21.22+4%
Schwartz–Moon simulation (cash can run out)$0.00$0.77$0.89-95%

Riot Platforms' latest quarter

Riot Platforms, Q3 2026: revenue $181M (+0.7% year over year), operating margin 0.7%, net earnings $4.0M, operating cash flow −$214M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for RIOT stock?

The median of 22 analysts' 12-month targets is $28.25, +72% from $16.47; the range is $13.00 to $42.00. The average rating is strong buy.

What is Riot Platforms' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$2.69 and $28.34, with a middle value of $5.56 against a price of $16.47. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Riot Platforms usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 40% of the quarters on record.

Is RIOT stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.