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Rithm Capital (RITM) stock forecast and fair value

Rithm Capital (RITM) trades at $9.31. 10 analysts' median price target is $13.00 (+40%), from $10.00 to $14.00. Across 17 valuation methods the middle fair value is $16.75 (+80%).

Price$9.31
Median target$13.00
Fair value, middle$16.75
EPS beat rate100%
Rithm Capital fair value by method (price $9.31)Rithm Capital fair value by method (price $9.31)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$16.75P/E vs peers, weighted$22.15P/E vs peers, matched$21.84P/E vs peers, growth-adjusted$19.33EV/Sales vs peers$20.98EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$50.18EV/Sales vs peers, matched$18.33Residual income$12.48P/FFO vs REIT peers$16.09P/FFO vs REIT peers, weighted$20.77

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$12.10$16.75$22.96+80%
P/E vs peers, weighted$15.80$22.15$45.04+138%
P/E vs peers, matched$13.65$21.84$35.63+134%
P/E vs peers, growth-adjusted$11.49$19.33$32.53+108%
EV/Sales vs peers−$26.83$20.98$47.18+125%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$19.85$50.18$72.84+439%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched−$20.65$18.33$51.78+97%
Residual income$12.03$12.48$12.96+34%
P/FFO vs REIT peers$13.50$16.09$22.94+73%
P/FFO vs REIT peers, weighted$15.89$20.77$29.23+123%

Rithm Capital's latest quarter

Rithm Capital, Q3 2026: revenue $1.8B (+59% year over year), operating margin 29.6%, net earnings $253M, operating cash flow −$1.6B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for RITM stock?

The median of 10 analysts' 12-month targets is $13.00, +40% from $9.31; the range is $10.00 to $14.00. The average rating is strong buy.

What is Rithm Capital's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $3.15 and $50.18, with a middle value of $16.75 against a price of $9.31. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Rithm Capital usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.

Is RITM stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.