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Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Sirius XM Holdings gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 1, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +0.5% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 4 times and lowered it twice.

Revenue

Sirius XM Holdings Revenue: last guidance vs reportedSirius XM Holdings Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY2024$8.7BFY2025$8.6BFY2026

Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (0 above, 2 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$8.5B (Apr 30, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$8.5B (Jan 30, 2025) → reaffirmed $8.5B (May 1, 2025) → reaffirmed $8.5B (Jul 31, 2025)$8.6Bwithin the range+0.7%
FY2024$8.7B (Oct 31, 2024)$8.7Bwithin the range+0.3%

Adjusted revenue

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$8.5B (Feb 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2024$8.8B (Feb 1, 2024) → reaffirmed $8.8B (Apr 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $8.8B (Aug 1, 2024)———

Adjusted EBITDA

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$2.6B (Feb 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $2.6B (Apr 30, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$2.6B (Jan 30, 2025) → reaffirmed $2.6B (May 1, 2025) → reaffirmed $2.6B (Jul 31, 2025)———
FY2024$2.7B (Feb 1, 2024) → reaffirmed $2.7B (Apr 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $2.7B (Aug 1, 2024) → lowered $1.0B (Oct 31, 2024)———

Adjusted free cash flow

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$1.4B (Feb 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2024$1.2B (Feb 1, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.2B (Apr 30, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.2B (Aug 1, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Sirius XM Holdings, Q3 2026: revenue $2.2B (-0.3% year over year), operating margin 22.2%, net earnings $317M, operating cash flow $457M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Sirius XM Holdings beat its guidance?

Sirius XM Holdings gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 1, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +0.5% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Sirius XM Holdings raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 4 times and lowered it twice since Feb 1, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.