Filing Flows › Super Micro Computer (SMCI) › Stock forecast & fair value
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) stock forecast and fair value
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) trades at $27.08. 15 analysts' median price target is $45.00 (+66%), from $15.00 to $65.00. Across 25 valuation methods the middle fair value is $78.58 (+190%); the DCF says $95.79.
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th | $65.43 | $200.54 | $760.34 | +641% |
| DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile | $34.98 | $95.79 | $169.45 | +254% |
| P/E vs peers | $81.61 | $119.90 | $189.88 | +343% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $91.60 | $132.30 | $182.75 | +389% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers | $74.28 | $112.87 | $187.62 | +317% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted | $87.74 | $121.32 | $186.87 | +348% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $121.55 | $304.41 | $496.70 | 11× |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $164.98 | $399.62 | $737.65 | 15× |
| EV/Sales vs peers, growth & margin adjusted | $115.90 | $209.90 | $382.74 | +675% |
| Residual income | $25.36 | $26.21 | $27.11 | -3% |
Super Micro Computer's latest quarter
Super Micro Computer, Q1 FY27: revenue $19.9B (+298% year over year), operating margin 10.4%, net earnings $1.6B, operating cash flow −$434M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for SMCI stock?
The median of 15 analysts' 12-month targets is $45.00, +66% from $27.08; the range is $15.00 to $65.00. The average rating is hold.
What is Super Micro Computer's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $16.36 and $399.62, with a middle value of $78.58 against a price of $27.08. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Super Micro Computer usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is SMCI stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.