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Is Nuscale Power (SMR) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Nuscale Power on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$732M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $10.7M). Historically 5.3% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.05× the average).

Share price$6.70
Market value$2.4B
Enterprise value$1.4B
Cash$1.1B
Debt$0
Revenue, 12 months$10.7M
Revenue growth-81%
EBITDA, 12 months−$732M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

A leveraged buyout is paid for mostly with debt that the company's own cash flow repays. Nuscale Power's EBITDA over the last 12 months was −$732M on revenue of $10.7M, so there is nothing to lend against and nothing to repay a loan with: a buyer would have to pay almost entirely with its own money. That is the kind of deal another company — a strategic buyer that wants the products, the pipeline or the technology — makes, not a private-equity fund. The model therefore gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Nuscale Power would cost about $9.38 a share, $3.4B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)14.7%$7.68$2.8B
Median40%$9.38$3.4B
High end (a quarter paid more)60.2%$10.73$3.9B

The odds, from history

Historically 5.3% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.05× the average). Its figures put it in decile 6 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Nuscale Power's latest quarter

Nuscale Power, Q3 2026: revenue $281K (-97% year over year), net loss $45.7M, operating cash flow −$28.6M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Nuscale Power being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Nuscale Power?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Nuscale Power on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$732M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $10.7M). With no cash flow to repay a loan, a buyer would pay almost entirely with its own money: a deal for another company (a strategic buyer), not for a private-equity fund.

What would a takeover of Nuscale Power cost?

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Nuscale Power would cost about $9.38 a share, $3.4B for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.