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Suburban Propane Partners LP (SPH) stock forecast and fair value

Suburban Propane Partners LP (SPH) trades at $17.09. One analyst's price target is $17.00 (-0.5%). Across 23 valuation methods the middle fair value is $20.14 (+18%); the DCF says $43.57.

Price$17.09
Median target$17.00
Fair value, middle$20.14
DCF$43.57
EPS beat rate25%
Suburban Propane Partners LP fair value by method (price $17.09)Suburban Propane Partners LP fair value by method (price $17.09)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$73.31DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$43.57P/E vs peers$39.02P/E vs peers, weighted$41.03P/E vs peers, matched$39.02EV/EBITDA vs peers$32.40EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$34.49EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$32.40EV/Sales vs peers−$0.71EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$3.47

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th−$8.72$73.31$287.00+329%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile−$10.67$43.57$106.68+155%
P/E vs peers$24.15$39.02$50.83+128%
P/E vs peers, weighted$29.41$41.03$63.58+140%
P/E vs peers, matched$21.29$39.02$50.83+128%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$11.99$32.40$61.46+90%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$14.11$34.49$48.55+102%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$7.94$32.40$52.73+90%
EV/Sales vs peers−$5.01−$0.71$11.60-104%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted−$7.28$3.47$23.72-80%

Suburban Propane Partners LP's latest quarter

Suburban Propane Partners LP, Q3 FY26: revenue $261M (+0.5% year over year), operating margin 0.9%, net loss $17.5M, operating cash flow $71.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for SPH stock?

One analyst's 12-month target is $17.00, -0.5% from $17.09. The average rating is none.

What is Suburban Propane Partners LP's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$2.27 and $73.31, with a middle value of $20.14 against a price of $17.09. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Suburban Propane Partners LP usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 25% of the quarters on record.

Is SPH stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.