Filing Flows › STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) › Takeover & LBO
Is STMicroelectronics N.V. (STM) a takeover target?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($54.24 a share) would return about 1% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; no price, however low, gets a buyer to 20%. Historically 2.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.45× the average).
The buyout, step by step
| Entry | Amount | How |
|---|---|---|
| Offer price a share | $54.24 | today's $41.72 plus 30% |
| × shares | 923.1 million | |
| = Equity value | $50.1B | |
| + Debt refinanced | $2.1B | |
| − Cash | $3.8B | |
| + Other claims | $397M | preferred stock, minority interests |
| = Enterprise value | $48.8B | 24.0× EBITDA of $2.0B |
| Fees | $975M | 2% of the price |
| New debt | $11.2B | 5.5× EBITDA at 7.65% a year; the limit that binds: 5.5× EBITDA |
| Buyer's own money | $38.6B | 78% of the cost |
5 years under the buyer
| Year | Revenue | EBITDA | Interest | Free cash flow | Debt left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $12.2B | $2.1B | $854M | $1.2B | $10.0B |
| Year 2 | $12.5B | $2.2B | $762M | $1.4B | $8.6B |
| Year 3 | $12.9B | $2.2B | $658M | $1.5B | $7.1B |
| Year 4 | $13.3B | $2.3B | $542M | $1.7B | $5.4B |
| Year 5 | $13.7B | $2.4B | $412M | $1.9B | $3.5B |
The exit and the buyer's return
| Exit | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Exit multiple | 18.3× EBITDA | today's trading multiple, before any premium |
| Enterprise value at exit | $43.1B | |
| − Debt left | $3.5B | |
| = Buyer's equity | $39.7B | |
| Money multiple | 1.03× | on $38.6B put in |
| Buyer's yearly return (IRR) | 0.6% |
Price against return
What the buyer makes at other premiums over today's $41.72.
| Premium | Price a share | Buyer's IRR |
|---|---|---|
| 10% | $45.89 | 5.2% |
| 20% | $50.06 | 2.7% |
| 30% | $54.24 | 0.6% |
| 40% | $58.41 | −1.4% |
| 50% | $62.58 | −3.1% |
The figures used
| Figure | Amount | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue, last 12 months | $11.8B | |
| EBITDA, last 12 months | $2.0B | 17.2% of revenue |
| Depreciation and amortization | $1.9B | |
| Debt | $2.1B | |
| Cash | $3.8B | |
| Share price | $41.72 | on Nov 6, 2026 |
Fixed rules, the same as the interactive view's starting point: the shares are bought at today's price plus 30%, the company's debt is refinanced and fees take 2%. New debt is the least of 5.5× EBITDA, 65% of the price and the amount whose interest EBITDA covers 2 times, at 7.65% a year (SOFR 3.89% plus the high-yield B spread 3.26% plus 0.5%, rates of Oct 15, 2026). Revenue grows 3.0% in the first year — the company's own rate, held between −3% and +8% — fading to 3% by year 5; the EBITDA margin, depreciation and capital spending stay at today's share of revenue; working capital takes 10% of each year's added revenue; tax is 30% of profit after interest. Every dollar of free cash flow repays debt. After 5 years the buyer sells at today's multiple of EBITDA.
What a takeover could cost
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 30% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 12% to 31%), according to the 14 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, STMicroelectronics N.V. would cost about $54.24 a share, $50.1B for all its shares.
| Premium | % | Price a share | All shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Low end (a quarter of deals paid less) | 12% | $46.73 | $43.1B |
| Median | 30% | $54.24 | $50.1B |
| High end (a quarter paid more) | 31% | $54.65 | $50.4B |
The odds, from history
Historically 2.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.45× the average). Its figures put it in decile 1 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.
STMicroelectronics N.V.'s latest quarter
STMicroelectronics N.V., Q3 2026: revenue $3.8B (+18% year over year), operating margin 9.8%, net earnings $292M, operating cash flow $1.0B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Is STMicroelectronics N.V. being acquired?
No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.
Could private equity buy STMicroelectronics N.V.?
A leveraged buyout at today's price plus 30% ($54.24 a share) would return about 1% a year to a private-equity buyer over 5 years; no price, however low, gets a buyer to 20%.
What would a takeover of STMicroelectronics N.V. cost?
Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 30% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 12% to 31%), according to the 14 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, STMicroelectronics N.V. would cost about $54.24 a share, $50.1B for all its shares.
Updated Nov 9, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.