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Is Symbotic (SYM) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Symbotic on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 1.5% ($38.7M on revenue of $2.6B), too thin to carry buyout debt. Historically 6.4% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.27× the average).

Share price$37.93
Market value$5.1B
Enterprise value$3.7B
Cash$1.7B
Debt$0
Revenue, 12 months$2.6B
Revenue growth+21%
EBITDA, 12 months$38.7M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

Symbotic kept 1.5% of its revenue as EBITDA over the last 12 months ($38.7M on $2.6B). A margin that thin cannot carry the debt a leveraged buyout needs — a small dip in sales would leave nothing for interest — so the model gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Symbotic would cost about $53.10 a share, $7.1B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)14.7%$43.51$5.8B
Median40%$53.10$7.1B
High end (a quarter paid more)60.2%$60.76$8.1B

The odds, from history

Historically 6.4% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.27× the average). Its figures put it in decile 8 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Symbotic's latest quarter

Symbotic, Q3 FY26: revenue $721M (+22% year over year), operating margin 4.6%, net earnings $11.7M, operating cash flow −$147M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is Symbotic being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy Symbotic?

A leveraged buyout does not work for Symbotic on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 1.5% ($38.7M on revenue of $2.6B), too thin to carry buyout debt. A margin that thin leaves almost nothing to pay interest with, so buyout debt does not fit.

What would a takeover of Symbotic cost?

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, Symbotic would cost about $53.10 a share, $7.1B for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.