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Trex (TREX) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Trex gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 26, 2024. Of 8 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 6 times (75%). Revenue: 5 of 7, on average +2.7% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance twice and lowered it 4 times.

Revenue

Trex Revenue: last guidance vs reportedTrex Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2024Q3 2024FY2024$1.2BQ1 2025$340MQ2 2025$388MQ3 2025$285MFY2025$1.2BFY2026Q2 2026$418MQ3 2026$360M

Met or beat 5 of 7 periods (5 above, 0 within, 2 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 2026$305M–$320M (Aug 4, 2026)$360Mabove the range+15.0%
Q2 2026$388M–$403M (May 7, 2026)$418Mabove the range+5.7%
FY2026$1.2B (May 7, 2026) → raised $1.2B (Aug 4, 2026) → raised $1.3B (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$1.1B (Oct 28, 2024) → raised $1.1B–$1.2B (Nov 4, 2025)$1.2Babove the range+1.7%
Q3 2025$295M–$305M (Aug 4, 2025)$285Mbelow the range-4.9%
Q2 2025$370M–$380M (May 8, 2025)$388Mabove the range+3.4%
Q1 2025$325M–$330M (Feb 24, 2025)$340Mabove the range+3.8%
FY2024$1.2B–$1.2B (May 9, 2024)$1.2Bbelow the range-6.0%
Q3 2024$220M–$230M (Aug 6, 2024)———
Q2 2024$380M–$390M (May 9, 2024)———

Gross margin

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202536.1% (Feb 24, 2025)———

Tax rate

Trex Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedTrex Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY202425.9%FY2026

Met or beat 1 of 1 periods (0 above, 1 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202625.5% (May 7, 2026) → reaffirmed 25.5% (Aug 4, 2026) → raised 26.0% (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
FY202425.0%–26.0% (Aug 6, 2024)25.9%within the range+0.4 pts

EBITDA margin

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202430.0%–30.5% (Feb 26, 2024) → lowered 30.0% (May 9, 2024) → raised 30.0%–30.5% (Aug 6, 2024)———

Capital expenditures

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$100M–$120M (May 7, 2026) → lowered $100M (Aug 4, 2026) → reaffirmed $100M (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$550M (Oct 28, 2024) → lowered $200M (Feb 24, 2025)$224M (GAAP)not judged—
FY2024$220M (Feb 26, 2024)$232M (GAAP)not judged—

Depreciation & amortization

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$85.0M (May 7, 2026) → reaffirmed $85.0M (Aug 4, 2026) → reaffirmed $85.0M (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2024$53.0M–$55.0M (Aug 6, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Trex, Q3 2026: revenue $360M (+26% year over year), operating margin 20.2%, net earnings $52.5M, operating cash flow $153M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Trex beat its guidance?

Trex gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 26, 2024. Of 8 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 6 times (75%). Revenue: 5 of 7, on average +2.7% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Trex raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance twice and lowered it 4 times since Feb 26, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.