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Trex earnings report card

Every report on file against what analysts and the company itself expected, and what the stock did

Beat rate3 of 5 reports beat the EPS estimate

Trex (TREX) beat the analysts' EPS estimate in 3 of its last 5 reports (60%), by +4.8% on average. On report days the stock moved 10.6% in either direction on median (largest 32.4%), rising 80% of the time; after a beat it rose 100% of the time.

Beat rate60% of 5
Average surprise+4.8%
Median move on the day±10.6%
Rose on the day80%

Report by report

QuarterReportedEPS est.EPS reportedSurpriseRevenue guidedRevenue reportedStock, the dayvs market
Q3 2026Nov 4, 2026$0.48$0.55+15.4%$305M–$320M$360M (above)+12.0%+14.9%
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.63$0.62-2.1%$388M–$403M$418M (above)+10.6%+9.0%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.51$0.59+16.1%—$343M+0.7%+0.2%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026−$0.01$0.04n/m—$161M+3.5%+1.9%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.57$0.51-10.2%$295M–$305M$285M (below)-32.4%-31.5%

Estimates and reported EPS are the Street's adjusted figures. Revenue guided is the last range the company gave before the report. Revenue reported is from the company's filing. The stock's move is close to close around the report date (the close before it to the close of the session after), against SPY for the market column.

Charts

Trex: EPS reported against the estimateTrex: EPS reported against the estimateEstimateReported$0.57$0.51Q3 2025−$0.01$0.04Q4 2025$0.51$0.59Q1 2026$0.63$0.62Q2 2026$0.48$0.55Q3 2026
Latest (Q3 2026): Estimate $0.48, Reported $0.55.
TREX: the stock's move on each report dayTREX: the stock's move on each report dayQ3 2026+12.0%Q2 2026+10.6%Q1 2026+0.7%Q4 2025+3.5%Q3 2025-32.4%
Close to close around the report, from the daily price history.

The earnings-day move

Over 5 reports the stock moved 10.6% on median on the day (close to close), the largest move 32.4%.

After a beat the stock rose 100% of the time (3 beats); after a miss it fell 50% of the time (2 misses).

How credible is its guidance?

Revenue: of 7 guided periods, 5 came in beyond the top end of the range, 0 within and 2 short of it; 5 of 7 on the better side of the midpoint, on average +2.7% against the midpoint (+ is better). Guidance has been conservative: results beat the range itself. On that record the odds the next lands on the better side of the midpoint are about 67%.

Position in the range: 0 is the worse end, 1 the better end (for costs and tax rates, lower). Odds are the record plus one each way (Laplace), not a forecast.

TREX: where revenue landed in its guided range, last 7 periodsTREX: where revenue landed in its guided range, last 7 periodsbeat#1beat#2beat#3missed#4beat#5beat#6missed#7
1 = the better end of the range, 0 = the worse end; "beat" is beyond the range, "missed" short of it.

The next report: what to expect → Trex: every quarter →

Read automatically from SEC filings, earnings releases and public estimates; errors are possible. Not investment advice.