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Trade Desk (TTD) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Trade Desk gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 9, 2023. Of 7 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 5 times (71%). Revenue: 5 of 7, on average +1.1% against the guided midpoint.

Revenue

Trade Desk Revenue: last guidance vs reportedTrade Desk Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024$741MQ1 2025$616MQ2 2025$694MQ3 2025$739MQ4 2025$847MQ1 2026$689MQ2 2026$715MQ3 2026

Met or beat 5 of 7 periods (0 above, 5 within, 2 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 2026$650M (Aug 6, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 2026$750M (May 7, 2026)$715Mbelow the range-4.7%
Q1 2026$678M (Feb 25, 2026)$689Mmet+1.6%
Q4 2025$840M (Nov 6, 2025)$847Mmet+0.8%
Q3 2025$717M (Aug 7, 2025)$739Mmet+3.1%
Q2 2025$682M (May 8, 2025)$694Mmet+1.8%
Q1 2025$575M (Feb 12, 2025)$616Mmet+7.1%
Q4 2024$756M (Nov 7, 2024)$741Mbelow the range-2.0%
Q3 2024$618M (Aug 8, 2024)———
Q2 2024$575M (May 8, 2024)———

Adjusted EBITDA

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 2026$160M (Aug 6, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 2026$260M (May 7, 2026)———
Q1 2026$195M (Feb 25, 2026)———
Q4 2025$375M (Nov 6, 2025)———
Q3 2025$277M (Aug 7, 2025)———
Q2 2025$259M (May 8, 2025)———
Q1 2025$145M (Feb 12, 2025)———
Q4 2024$363M (Nov 7, 2024)———
Q3 2024$248M (Aug 8, 2024)———
Q2 2024$223M (May 8, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Trade Desk, Q2 2026: revenue $715M (+3% year over year), operating margin 14.2%, net earnings $64.4M, operating cash flow $154M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Trade Desk beat its guidance?

Trade Desk gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 9, 2023. Of 7 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 5 times (71%). Revenue: 5 of 7, on average +1.1% against the guided midpoint.

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.