Filing Flows › Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) › Stock forecast & fair value
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) stock forecast and fair value
Frontier Group Holdings (ULCC) trades at $7.34. 9 analysts' median price target is $7.00 (-5%), from $4.00 to $10.00. Across 14 valuation methods the middle fair value is $17.83 (+143%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/Sales vs peers | $15.88 | $18.37 | $21.68 | +150% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $14.23 | $17.83 | $20.57 | +143% |
| Residual income | −$0.82 | −$0.83 | −$0.84 | -111% |
| Analysts' price targets | $4.00 | $6.94 | $10.00 | -5% |
| Path-to-margin DCF | $7.64 | $20.37 | $32.99 | +177% |
| Path-to-margin DCF, dilution-adjusted | $7.64 | $20.37 | $32.99 | +177% |
| Exit-multiple (venture) method | $11.58 | $16.54 | $36.37 | +125% |
| EV/Sales vs Rule of 40 (all-company fit) | $17.52 | $44.36 | $117.98 | +504% |
| Survival-weighted value | $5.60 | $14.60 | $23.52 | +99% |
| Stage-weighted value (pre-profit / high growth) | $11.15 | $21.65 | $42.26 | +195% |
Frontier Group Holdings' latest quarter
Frontier Group Holdings, Q3 2026: revenue $1.4B (+53% year over year), operating margin -8.0%, net loss $104M, operating cash flow −$41.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for ULCC stock?
The median of 9 analysts' 12-month targets is $7.00, -5% from $7.34; the range is $4.00 to $10.00. The average rating is hold.
What is Frontier Group Holdings' fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$0.83 and $44.36, with a middle value of $17.83 against a price of $7.34. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Frontier Group Holdings usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.
Is ULCC stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.