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Ulta Beauty earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score74 / 100 · grade B · rank 186 of 1027

Ulta Beauty (ULTA) scores 74 of 100 for earnings quality, grade B: rank 186 of 1027 companies and 36 of 141 in consumer-disc. It loses the most points on Montier C-score 4 of 5 checks failed, accruals of -5.4% of assets, lower than 61% of companies (profit backed by cash), discretionary accruals of -1.6% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most. It earns full or near-full marks for adjusted earnings 2% below GAAP, profit steadier than cash flow (smoothness 0.65), Beneish M-score -2.39: clean (below −2.22).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of -5.4% of assets, lower than 61% of companies (profit backed by cash)1220
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.39: clean (below −2.22)1515
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 0.50 (normal)1515
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 4 of 5 checks failed315
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of -1.6% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most710
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 7 of 9810
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 2% below GAAP910
Earnings smoothnessprofit steadier than cash flow (smoothness 0.65)45
ULTA: share of the available points, by componentULTA: share of the available points, by componentAccruals62%Discretionary accruals73%Beneish M-score100%Dechow F-score100%Montier C-score20%Piotroski F-score78%Non-GAAP gap93%Earnings smoothness90%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

Every company ranked → The full quality workbench, live → Ulta Beauty: cash flow →

Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.