Filing Flows › Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) › Stock forecast & fair value
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) stock forecast and fair value
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) trades at $111.38. 11 analysts' median price target is $127.00 (+14%), from $63.00 to $147.00. Across 10 valuation methods the middle fair value is $66.10 (-41%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/Sales vs peers | $11.15 | $66.10 | $1,086.15 | -41% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $8.33 | $67.03 | $123.48 | -40% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, matched | $32.26 | $70.84 | $1,092.19 | -36% |
| Residual income | $16.03 | $16.64 | $17.28 | -85% |
| Analysts' price targets | $63.00 | $123.00 | $147.00 | +10% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $44.89 | $49.81 | $55.95 | -55% |
| Tangible book (asset value) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | — |
| Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround) | $5.07 | $30.05 | $493.70 | -73% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $91.20 | $115.81 | $143.50 | +4% |
| H-model dividend discount | $25.35 | $28.14 | $31.60 | -75% |
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's latest quarter
Marriott Vacations Worldwide, Q3 2026: revenue $1.4B (+8% year over year), operating margin 11.2%, net earnings $82.0M, operating cash flow $128M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for VAC stock?
The median of 11 analysts' 12-month targets is $127.00, +14% from $111.38; the range is $63.00 to $147.00. The average rating is none.
What is Marriott Vacations Worldwide's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $0.00 and $123.00, with a middle value of $66.10 against a price of $111.38. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Marriott Vacations Worldwide usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is VAC stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.