Filing Flows › Verra Mobility (VRRM) › Guidance history
Verra Mobility (VRRM) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported
Verra Mobility gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 29, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +1.4% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 3 times and lowered it once.
Revenue
Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (1 above, 1 within, 0 below).
| Period | Guided (and how it moved) | Reported | Result | vs midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $1.0B–$1.0B (Feb 24, 2026) → lowered $945M–$965M (Aug 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $945M–$965M (Oct 30, 2026) | — | to be reported | — |
| FY2025 | $925M–$935M (Feb 27, 2025) → reaffirmed $925M–$935M (Aug 6, 2025) → raised $955M–$965M (Oct 29, 2025) | $979M | above the range | +2.0% |
| FY2024 | $865M–$880M (Feb 29, 2024) → reaffirmed $865M–$880M (Aug 8, 2024) → reaffirmed $865M–$880M (Oct 31, 2024) | $879M | within the range | +0.8% |
Adjusted tax rate
The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.
| Period | Guided (and how it moved) | Reported | Result | vs midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | 28.0%–29.0% (Feb 24, 2026) → reaffirmed 28.0%–29.0% (May 6, 2026) → reaffirmed 28.0%–29.0% (Aug 5, 2026) → reaffirmed 28.0%–29.0% (Oct 30, 2026) | — | to be reported | — |
| FY2025 | 28.5%–29.5% (Feb 27, 2025) → reaffirmed 28.5%–29.5% (May 7, 2025) → reaffirmed 28.5%–29.5% (Aug 6, 2025) → reaffirmed 28.5%–29.5% (Oct 29, 2025) | — | — | — |
| FY2024 | 30.0% (Aug 8, 2024) → reaffirmed 30.0% (Oct 31, 2024) | — | — | — |
Free cash flow
The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).
| Period | Guided (and how it moved) | Reported | Result | vs midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $150M–$160M (Feb 24, 2026) → lowered $105M–$115M (Aug 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $105M–$115M (Oct 30, 2026) | — | to be reported | — |
| FY2025 | $175M–$185M (Feb 27, 2025) → reaffirmed $175M–$185M (Aug 6, 2025) → reaffirmed $175M–$185M (Oct 29, 2025) | $137M (GAAP) | not judged | — |
Adjusted EBITDA
The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.
| Period | Guided (and how it moved) | Reported | Result | vs midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $405M–$415M (Feb 24, 2026) → lowered $360M–$370M (Aug 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $360M–$370M (Oct 30, 2026) | — | to be reported | — |
| FY2025 | $410M–$420M (Feb 27, 2025) → reaffirmed $410M–$420M (Aug 6, 2025) → reaffirmed $410M–$420M (Oct 29, 2025) | — | — | — |
| FY2024 | $395M–$405M (Feb 29, 2024) → reaffirmed $395M–$405M (Aug 8, 2024) → reaffirmed $395M–$405M (Oct 31, 2024) | — | — | — |
Adjusted EPS
The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.
| Period | Guided (and how it moved) | Reported | Result | vs midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 | $1.32–$1.38 (Feb 24, 2026) → lowered $1.11–$1.17 (Aug 5, 2026) → reaffirmed $1.11–$1.17 (Oct 30, 2026) | — | to be reported | — |
| FY2025 | $1.30–$1.35 (Feb 27, 2025) → reaffirmed $1.30–$1.35 (Aug 6, 2025) → reaffirmed $1.30–$1.35 (Oct 29, 2025) | — | — | — |
| FY2024 | $1.15–$1.20 (Feb 29, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.15–$1.20 (Aug 8, 2024) → reaffirmed $1.15–$1.20 (Oct 31, 2024) | — | — | — |
Adjusted free cash flow
The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.
| Period | Guided (and how it moved) | Reported | Result | vs midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2024 | $155M–$165M (Feb 29, 2024) → reaffirmed $155M–$165M (Aug 8, 2024) → reaffirmed $155M–$165M (Oct 31, 2024) | — | — | — |
The latest quarter
Verra Mobility, Q3 2026: revenue $259M (-1% year over year), operating margin 25.3%, net earnings $40.4M, operating cash flow $115M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
Does Verra Mobility beat its guidance?
Verra Mobility gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 29, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +1.4% against the guided midpoint.
How often does Verra Mobility raise guidance?
Its earnings releases raised guidance 3 times and lowered it once since Feb 29, 2024.
Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.