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Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Advanced Drainage Systems gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 8, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +0.0% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 0 times and lowered it once.

Revenue

Advanced Drainage Systems Revenue: last guidance vs reportedAdvanced Drainage Systems Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY24FY25$2.9BFY26$3.1BFY27

Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (1 above, 1 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY27$3.4B–$3.5B (May 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $3.4B–$3.5B (Aug 6, 2026) → lowered $3.3B–$3.4B (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY26$2.8B–$3.0B (May 15, 2025) → reaffirmed $2.8B–$3.0B (Aug 7, 2025) → raised $2.9B–$3.0B (Nov 6, 2025) → raised $3.0B–$3.0B (Feb 5, 2026)$3.1Babove the range+1.2%
FY25$2.9B (May 16, 2024) → raised $2.9B–$3.0B (Aug 8, 2024) → lowered $2.9B–$3.0B (Nov 8, 2024) → reaffirmed $2.9B–$3.0B (Feb 6, 2025)$2.9Bwithin the range-1.1%
FY24$2.8B–$2.9B (Feb 8, 2024)———

Capital expenditures

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY27$200M (May 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $200M (Aug 6, 2026) → reaffirmed $200M (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY26$275M (May 15, 2025) → lowered $200M–$225M (Aug 7, 2025) → reaffirmed $200M–$225M (Nov 6, 2025) → raised $250M (Feb 5, 2026)$250M (GAAP)not judged—
FY25$250M–$300M (May 16, 2024) → reaffirmed $250M–$300M (Aug 8, 2024) → lowered $250M (Nov 8, 2024) → lowered $225M (Feb 6, 2025)$213M (GAAP)not judged—
FY24$200M (Feb 8, 2024)———

Adjusted EBITDA

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY27$1.0B–$1.1B (May 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $1.0B–$1.1B (Aug 6, 2026) → lowered $1.0B–$1.0B (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY26$850M–$910M (May 15, 2025) → reaffirmed $850M–$910M (Aug 7, 2025) → raised $900M–$940M (Nov 6, 2025) → raised $930M–$960M (Feb 5, 2026)———
FY25$940M–$980M (May 16, 2024) → reaffirmed $940M–$980M (Aug 8, 2024) → lowered $880M–$920M (Nov 8, 2024) → reaffirmed $880M–$920M (Feb 6, 2025)———
FY24$880M–$910M (Feb 8, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Advanced Drainage Systems, Q2 FY27: revenue $889M (+5% year over year), operating margin 21.9%, net earnings $110M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Advanced Drainage Systems beat its guidance?

Advanced Drainage Systems gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 8, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +0.0% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Advanced Drainage Systems raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 0 times and lowered it once since Feb 8, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.