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Walmart (WMT) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Walmart gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 16, 2023. Of 5 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 4 times (80%). Revenue: 3 of 3, on average +7.0% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 7 times and lowered it 0 times.

Revenue

Walmart Revenue: last guidance vs reportedWalmart Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q3 FY25Q2 FY26$177.4BQ3 FY26$179.5BQ1 FY27$177.8B

Met or beat 3 of 3 periods (3 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q1 FY27$164.0B (Feb 19, 2026)$177.8Babove the range+8.4%
Q3 FY26$168.0B (Aug 21, 2025)$179.5Babove the range+6.8%
Q2 FY26$167.8B (May 15, 2025)$177.4Babove the range+5.7%
Q3 FY25$159.4B (Aug 15, 2024)———

Adjusted revenue

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$177.8B (Aug 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY27$706.4B (May 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $706.4B (Aug 20, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY27$175.8B (May 21, 2026)———
FY26$674.5B (May 15, 2025) → reaffirmed $674.5B (Aug 21, 2025) → reaffirmed $674.5B (Nov 20, 2025)———
Q1 FY26$159.9B (Feb 20, 2025)———
FY25$642.6B (May 16, 2024) → reaffirmed $642.6B (Aug 15, 2024) → reaffirmed $642.6B (Nov 19, 2024)———
FY24$605.9B (Nov 16, 2023)———

Adjusted operating income

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$7.3B (Aug 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY27$31.0B (May 21, 2026) → reaffirmed $31.0B (Aug 20, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY27$7.9B (May 21, 2026)———
Q1 FY27$7.1B (Feb 19, 2026)———
Q3 FY26$6.7B (Aug 21, 2025)———
FY26$29.5B (May 15, 2025) → reaffirmed $29.5B (Aug 21, 2025) → reaffirmed $29.5B (Nov 20, 2025)———
Q1 FY26$7.1B (Feb 20, 2025)———
Q3 FY25$6.2B (Aug 15, 2024)———
FY25$27.1B (May 16, 2024) → reaffirmed $27.1B (Aug 15, 2024) → reaffirmed $27.1B (Nov 19, 2024)———
FY24$24.6B (Nov 16, 2023)———

Tax rate

Walmart Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedWalmart Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY24Q3 FY2625.6%FY2624.4%FY27Q3 FY27

Met or beat 1 of 2 periods (1 above, 1 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY2723.5%–24.5% (Aug 20, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2723.5%–24.5% (May 21, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2623.5%–24.5% (May 15, 2025) → reaffirmed 23.5%–24.5% (Nov 20, 2025)24.4%within the range+0.4 pts
Q3 FY2623.5%–24.5% (Aug 21, 2025)25.6%above the range+1.6 pts
FY2426.5% (Nov 16, 2023)———

Adjusted EPS

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$0.62 (Aug 20, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY27$0.68 (May 21, 2026)———
FY27$0.72–$0.74 (May 21, 2026) → lowered $0.62–$0.64 (Aug 20, 2026)—to be reported—
Q1 FY27$0.61 (Feb 19, 2026)———
Q3 FY26$0.58 (Aug 21, 2025)———
FY26$2.51 (May 15, 2025) → lowered $1.00–$2.52 (Aug 21, 2025) → raised $2.58–$2.63 (Nov 20, 2025)———
Q1 FY26$0.60 (Feb 20, 2025)———
Q3 FY25$0.51 (Aug 15, 2024)———
FY25$2.22 (May 16, 2024) → reaffirmed $2.22 (Aug 15, 2024) → reaffirmed $2.22 (Nov 19, 2024)———
FY24$6.40–$6.48 (Nov 16, 2023)———

The latest quarter

Walmart, Q2 FY27: revenue $187.9B (+6% year over year), operating margin 5.0%, net earnings $6.5B, operating cash flow $15.0B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Walmart beat its guidance?

Walmart gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 16, 2023. Of 5 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 4 times (80%). Revenue: 3 of 3, on average +7.0% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Walmart raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 7 times and lowered it 0 times since Nov 16, 2023.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.