Filing Flows › Advance Auto Parts (AAP) › Stock forecast & fair value
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock forecast and fair value
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) trades at $45.95. 20 analysts' median price target is $49.00 (+7%), from $32.00 to $70.00. Across 23 valuation methods the middle fair value is $32.37 (-30%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $10.43 | $19.48 | $26.87 | -58% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $13.22 | $24.28 | $32.51 | -47% |
| P/E vs peers, growth-adjusted | $11.09 | $14.91 | $20.05 | -68% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers | $27.74 | $39.57 | $51.10 | -14% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted | $28.92 | $45.20 | $51.25 | -2% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $50.35 | $82.20 | $266.42 | +79% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $65.05 | $239.53 | $448.81 | +421% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, growth & margin adjusted | $29.81 | $42.58 | $60.07 | -7% |
| Residual income | $28.06 | $29.11 | $30.22 | -37% |
| Analysts' price targets | $32.00 | $49.15 | $70.00 | +7% |
Advance Auto Parts' latest quarter
Advance Auto Parts, Q3 2026: revenue $2.0B (-1% year over year), operating margin 2.3%, net earnings $15.0M, operating cash flow $59.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for AAP stock?
The median of 20 analysts' 12-month targets is $49.00, +7% from $45.95; the range is $32.00 to $70.00. The average rating is hold.
What is Advance Auto Parts' fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $13.43 and $239.53, with a middle value of $32.37 against a price of $45.95. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Advance Auto Parts usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.
Is AAP stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.