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Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) stock forecast and fair value

Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) trades at $207.03. 11 analysts' median price target is $218.00 (+5%), from $185.00 to $295.00. Across 26 valuation methods the middle fair value is $360.68 (+74%); the DCF says $360.68.

Price$207.03
Median target$218.00
Fair value, middle$360.68
DCF$360.68
EPS beat rate60%
Asbury Automotive Group fair value by method (price $207.03)Asbury Automotive Group fair value by method (price $207.03)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$632.01DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$360.68P/E vs peers$388.49P/E vs peers, weighted$462.84P/E vs peers, matched$239.66EV/EBITDA vs peers$235.61EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$235.53EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$363.38EV/Sales vs peers$304.46EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$657.56

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th$218.73$632.01$1,889.24+205%
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile$138.72$360.68$661.21+74%
P/E vs peers$239.66$388.49$565.27+88%
P/E vs peers, weighted$278.42$462.84$780.09+124%
P/E vs peers, matched$223.14$239.66$354.42+16%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$217.53$235.61$402.22+14%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$221.44$235.53$373.69+14%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$222.76$363.38$499.13+76%
EV/Sales vs peers$192.57$304.46$1,250.93+47%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$240.16$657.56$1,849.10+218%

Asbury Automotive Group's latest quarter

Asbury Automotive Group, Q3 2026: revenue $4.4B (-8% year over year), operating margin 4.7%, net earnings $105M, operating cash flow $265M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for ABG stock?

The median of 11 analysts' 12-month targets is $218.00, +5% from $207.03; the range is $185.00 to $295.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Asbury Automotive Group's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $11.51 and $771.09, with a middle value of $360.68 against a price of $207.03. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Asbury Automotive Group usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 60% of the quarters on record.

Is ABG stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.