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Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT): analysis traps

Where its figures could mislead a reader, and what to check before taking them at face value · Data: Q4 FY26, to Jun 30, 2026, filed Sep 10, 2026; rules v1.1

Alliance Entertainment Holding (AENT): 0 rules of 10 triggered on the filings to Jun 30, 2026. 1 to review; 3 with insufficient data; 2 not applicable. Each is a question to verify, with the normal explanation that would produce the same figures.

Check these first

Adjusted profit = economic profit To review · confidence low

Adjusted EPS was 10% or more above GAAP in 1 of the last 3 quarters: read the reconciliation before taking the adjusted figure.

Every rule

A01 FCF growth = the business improved Not triggered confidence high

Free cash flow did not rise ($27M → −$3M): the trap does not arise.

The figures and how they are read
Fiscal year beforeFY25
Fiscal yearFY26
Operating cash flow, year before$27M
Operating cash flow−$2M
Capex, year before54,000
Capex$1M
Free cash flow, year before$27M
Free cash flow−$3M
Change in FCF−$30M
Change in capex$1M
Working capital: change in its cash contribution−$28M

FCF = operating cash flow − cash capex; ΔFCF = ΔOCF − ΔCapEx; the working-capital part is the change in the cash-bridge items (receivables, inventory, payables, accruals), with the sign of the cash flow statement

Source: FY26 (cash flow statement, fiscal year) · FY25 (cash flow statement, fiscal year before)

A07 Stock compensation added back = no economic cost Not triggered confidence high

Stock compensation is 0.0% of revenue: small enough that adding it back changes little.

The figures and how they are read
Fiscal yearFY26
Stock compensation$337K
Revenue$1.1B
SBC / revenue+0.0%
Buybacks0
Buybacks / SBC0.0
Diluted shares, year before51.0M shares
Diluted shares51.1M shares
Diluted shares: change+0.1%

SBC / revenue from the cash flow statement's add-back; the diluted weighted share count year over year; buybacks from the financing section

Source: FY26 (stock compensation, buybacks and the diluted share count, fiscal year)

B02 Receivables growing = future cash is certain Not triggered confidence medium

Receivables grew 17% against revenue 18% in Q4 FY26; DSO 35 against a median of 38: collections are keeping pace with sales.

The figures and how they are read
QuarterQ4 FY26
Revenue, year over year+17.7%
Receivables, year over year+16.9%
Quarter beforeQ3 FY26
Revenue y/y, quarter before+21.2%
Receivables y/y, quarter before-2.1%
Days sales outstanding34.6
DSO, median of eight quarters37.9
Receivables$111M
Revenue$268M

receivables and revenue against the same quarter a year earlier; DSO = receivables / quarterly revenue × days, against the median of the eight quarters before

Source: Q4 FY26 (receivables and revenue) · Q4 FY25 (the same quarter a year earlier)

B08 Adjusted profit = economic profit To review confidence low

Adjusted EPS was 10% or more above GAAP in 1 of the last 3 quarters: read the reconciliation before taking the adjusted figure.

The figures and how they are read
Quarter / adjusted EPS / GAAP EPS / gap2025-09-30 / 0.1218 / 0.1 / 0.179; 2025-12-31 / 0.18 / 0.18 / 0.0; 2026-03-31 / 0.05 / 0.05 / 0.0
Quarters with adjusted ≥ 10% above GAAP1
Quarters compared3
Latest gap+0.0%

the analysts' 'actual' (usually the company's adjusted EPS) against GAAP net income ÷ diluted shares for the matching quarter; a gap of 10% or more counts (the stand-in until three releases' reconciliation tables are on file)

Source: 2025-09-30 (adjusted 0.12 vs GAAP 0.10) · 2025-12-31 (adjusted 0.18 vs GAAP 0.18) · 2026-03-31 (adjusted 0.05 vs GAAP 0.05)

What would show the trap does not apply

Look again: next filing.

C02 Low net debt = no refinancing risk Insufficient data

no debt figure could be read from the balance sheet (the filing may tag it in other lines)

D03 EPS growth = profit growth Not triggered confidence high

EPS rose 25% and net income rose 25% in Q3 FY26; the share count rose 0.1%: EPS growth follows profit growth.

The figures and how they are read
QuarterQ3 FY26
Quarter beforeQ3 FY25
EPS, year before$0.04
EPS$0.04
Net income, year before$2M
Net income$2M
Diluted shares, year before51.0M shares
Diluted shares51.0M shares
EPS growth+25.0%
Net income growth+24.9%
Diluted shares: change+0.1%
eps from profit$0.01
eps from share count$0.00

EPS and net income against the same quarter a year earlier; the EPS bridge attributes the change to profit first, then to the share count (the order is fixed and disclosed)

Source: Q3 FY26 (net income, diluted shares, EPS) · Q3 FY25 (the same quarter a year earlier)

E02 Low P/E at a cyclical peak = undervalued Insufficient data

no market value or trailing net income in the valuation research

E07 A precise DCF value = the true value Insufficient data

no DCF in the valuation research for this company

J06 A bank's low P/E and high profit = safe Not applicable

not a bank

J08 A REIT's low net income = the dividend is unsafe Not applicable

not a REIT

What the statuses mean

Triggered: the filings show the pattern; read the normal explanations and the missing evidence before concluding anything. To review: one quarter or a weak signal; a reader's judgement, not a pattern. Not triggered: the pattern is absent on these figures. Insufficient data: the filings read so far do not hold what the rule needs; this is not a clean bill. Not applicable: the rule is not meant for this kind of company (a bank's working capital, a loss-making quarter's EPS growth). Out of date: the latest filing is more than fifteen months old.

Severity is what the pattern could mean for cash, value or solvency; confidence is how reliable the inputs and the reading are. The two are kept apart.

Record a view

A reader's judgement, grounds, what would change it and the next review; kept in the browser (needs JavaScript).

Every rule and the companies it triggers on → Alliance Entertainment Holding: cash flow →

Each rule reads the company's own filings by a fixed formula and says what would explain the same figures innocently. A triggered rule is a question to verify, not a finding of manipulation, and not a view on the stock. Missing data is shown as missing, never as clear. Not investment advice.