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American Eagle Outfitters earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score79 / 100 · grade B · rank 82 of 1027

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) scores 79 of 100 for earnings quality, grade B: rank 82 of 1027 companies and 15 of 141 in consumer-disc. It loses the most points on Montier C-score 3 of 6 checks failed, accruals of -6.9% of assets, lower than 71% of companies (profit backed by cash), Piotroski F-score 5 of 9. It earns full or near-full marks for adjusted earnings 4% below GAAP, Beneish M-score -2.72: clean (below −2.22), Dechow F-score 0.47 (normal).

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of -6.9% of assets, lower than 71% of companies (profit backed by cash)1420
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -2.72: clean (below −2.22)1515
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 0.47 (normal)1515
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 3 of 6 checks failed815
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of -1.1% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most810
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 5 of 9610
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 4% below GAAP910
Earnings smoothnessprofit about as variable as cash flow (smoothness 0.87)55
AEO: share of the available points, by componentAEO: share of the available points, by componentAccruals71%Discretionary accruals79%Beneish M-score100%Dechow F-score100%Montier C-score50%Piotroski F-score56%Non-GAAP gap86%Earnings smoothness100%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

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Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.