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Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) stock forecast and fair value

Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) trades at $11.96. 13 analysts' median price target is $17.00 (+42%), from $11.00 to $25.00. Across 13 valuation methods the middle fair value is $6.55 (-45%).

Price$11.96
Median target$17.00
Fair value, middle$6.55
EPS beat rate0%
Atlas Energy Solutions fair value by method (price $11.96)Atlas Energy Solutions fair value by method (price $11.96)low – highpoint estimateEV/Sales vs peers$14.12EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$17.67EV/Sales vs peers, growth & margin …$6.55Residual income$3.27Analysts' price targets$16.92Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$0.02Tangible book (asset value)$6.38Survival-weighted value$10.92Stage-weighted value (decline / tur…$10.17Combined forecast (3 months)$12.44

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
EV/Sales vs peers$9.36$14.12$23.08+18%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$12.91$17.67$23.55+48%
EV/Sales vs peers, growth & margin adjusted$2.05$6.55$13.13-45%
Residual income$3.15$3.27$3.40-73%
Analysts' price targets$11.00$16.92$25.00+41%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$0.02$0.02$0.02-100%
Tangible book (asset value)$5.10$6.38$6.38-47%
Survival-weighted value$7.85$10.92$16.71-9%
Stage-weighted value (decline / turnaround)$7.25$10.17$14.70-15%
Combined forecast (3 months)$9.79$12.44$15.41+4%

Atlas Energy Solutions' latest quarter

Atlas Energy Solutions, Q3 2026: revenue $268M (+3% year over year), operating margin -14.9%, net loss $45.1M, operating cash flow $23.4M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for AESI stock?

The median of 13 analysts' 12-month targets is $17.00, +42% from $11.96; the range is $11.00 to $25.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Atlas Energy Solutions' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $0.02 and $17.67, with a middle value of $6.55 against a price of $11.96. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Atlas Energy Solutions usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 0% of the quarters on record.

Is AESI stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.