Filing Flows › American Financial Group (AFG) › Stock forecast & fair value
American Financial Group (AFG) stock forecast and fair value
American Financial Group (AFG) trades at $155.24. 6 analysts' median price target is $152.50 (-2%), from $143.00 to $170.00. Across 15 valuation methods the middle fair value is $145.94 (-6%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $89.46 | $126.97 | $155.12 | -18% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $116.73 | $142.00 | $163.62 | -9% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $141.96 | $158.96 | $283.27 | +2% |
| Residual income | $83.35 | $86.55 | $89.94 | -44% |
| P/B vs ROE (insurer peers) | $56.00 | $139.73 | $223.46 | -10% |
| Analysts' price targets | $143.00 | $155.17 | $170.00 | 0% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $132.20 | $155.84 | $189.76 | +0.4% |
| Justified P/B (Gordon growth) | $180.03 | $224.00 | $296.41 | +44% |
| Dividend discount (Gordon) | $149.26 | $185.72 | $245.75 | +20% |
| Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer)) | $103.95 | $145.94 | $195.88 | -6% |
American Financial Group's latest quarter
American Financial Group, Q3 2026: revenue $2.6B (+11% year over year), operating margin 13.9%, net earnings $282M, operating cash flow $405M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for AFG stock?
The median of 6 analysts' 12-month targets is $152.50, -2% from $155.24; the range is $143.00 to $170.00. The average rating is buy.
What is American Financial Group's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $57.48 and $224.00, with a middle value of $145.94 against a price of $155.24. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does American Financial Group usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is AFG stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.