Filing Flows › Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) › Stock forecast & fair value
Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) stock forecast and fair value
Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) trades at $288.11. 18 analysts' median price target is $296.50 (+3%), from $253.00 to $388.00. Across 15 valuation methods the middle fair value is $117.68 (-59%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $132.51 | $163.96 | $248.72 | -43% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $125.57 | $156.09 | $184.12 | -46% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $125.49 | $154.29 | $164.90 | -46% |
| Residual income | $87.20 | $90.54 | $94.08 | -69% |
| P/B vs ROE (insurer peers) | $24.05 | $157.23 | $290.40 | -45% |
| Analysts' price targets | $253.00 | $300.11 | $388.00 | +4% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $42.64 | $50.76 | $62.69 | -82% |
| Justified P/B (Gordon growth) | $62.14 | $78.69 | $107.27 | -73% |
| Dividend discount (Gordon) | $56.91 | $72.08 | $98.25 | -75% |
| Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer)) | $64.37 | $111.69 | $168.01 | -61% |
Arthur J. Gallagher's latest quarter
Arthur J. Gallagher, Q3 2026: revenue $4.0B (+18% year over year), operating margin 13.0%, net earnings $406M, operating cash flow $1.3B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for AJG stock?
The median of 18 analysts' 12-month targets is $296.50, +3% from $288.11; the range is $253.00 to $388.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Arthur J. Gallagher's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $50.76 and $300.11, with a middle value of $117.68 against a price of $288.11. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Arthur J. Gallagher usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is AJG stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.