Filing Flows › Allegiant Travel (ALGT) › Stock forecast & fair value
Allegiant Travel (ALGT) stock forecast and fair value
Allegiant Travel (ALGT) trades at $91.97. 14 analysts' median price target is $115.00 (+25%), from $85.00 to $165.00. Across 25 valuation methods the middle fair value is $36.22 (-61%); the DCF says $31.27.
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th | −$504.35 | $32.95 | $695.77 | -64% |
| DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile | −$404.94 | $31.27 | $409.23 | -66% |
| P/E vs peers | $18.74 | $31.63 | $38.15 | -66% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $19.88 | $25.40 | $39.41 | -72% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers | $31.17 | $61.54 | $122.52 | -33% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted | $54.97 | $65.32 | $125.92 | -29% |
| EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched | $31.40 | $57.53 | $67.46 | -37% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | −$15.27 | $15.90 | $26.63 | -83% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | −$12.90 | $12.70 | $34.16 | -86% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, matched | $18.24 | $34.64 | $42.82 | -62% |
Allegiant Travel's latest quarter
Allegiant Travel, Q3 2026: revenue $962M (+71% year over year), operating margin 1.1%, net loss $15.2M, operating cash flow −$211M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for ALGT stock?
The median of 14 analysts' 12-month targets is $115.00, +25% from $91.97; the range is $85.00 to $165.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Allegiant Travel's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$44.15 and $204.81, with a middle value of $36.22 against a price of $91.97. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Allegiant Travel usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is ALGT stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.