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Bancfirst (BANF) stock forecast and fair value

Bancfirst (BANF) trades at $107.28. 3 analysts' median price target is $122.00 (+14%), from $120.00 to $125.00. Across 14 valuation methods the middle fair value is $90.08 (-16%).

Price$107.28
Median target$122.00
Fair value, middle$90.08
EPS beat rate75%
Bancfirst fair value by method (price $107.28)Bancfirst fair value by method (price $107.28)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$90.08P/E vs peers, weighted$99.71P/E vs peers, matched$89.71Residual income$67.28P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$90.96Analysts' price targets$122.33Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$28.83Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$108.10Dividend discount (Gordon)$38.03Stage-weighted value (financial (ba…$79.82

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$82.08$90.08$103.34-16%
P/E vs peers, weighted$89.26$99.71$106.07-7%
P/E vs peers, matched$80.06$89.71$103.31-16%
Residual income$64.85$67.28$69.85-37%
P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$69.34$90.96$112.59-15%
Analysts' price targets$120.00$122.33$125.00+14%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$24.98$28.83$34.07-73%
Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$90.07$108.10$135.17+0.8%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$31.69$38.03$47.55-65%
Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer))$67.84$79.82$94.51-26%

Bancfirst's latest quarter

Bancfirst, Q3 2026: revenue $187M (+7% year over year), operating margin 45.9%, net earnings $67.3M, operating cash flow $86.1M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for BANF stock?

The median of 3 analysts' 12-month targets is $122.00, +14% from $107.28; the range is $120.00 to $125.00. The average rating is hold.

What is Bancfirst's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $28.83 and $122.33, with a middle value of $90.08 against a price of $107.28. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Bancfirst usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 75% of the quarters on record.

Is BANF stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.