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Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) stock forecast and fair value

Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) trades at $147.72. 15 analysts' median price target is $165.00 (+12%), from $135.00 to $182.00. Across 15 valuation methods the middle fair value is $109.53 (-26%).

Price$147.72
Median target$165.00
Fair value, middle$109.53
EPS beat rate100%
Bank of New York Mellon fair value by method (price $147.72)Bank of New York Mellon fair value by method (price $147.72)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$106.53P/E vs peers, weighted$110.44P/E vs peers, matched$107.70Residual income$77.55P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$99.16Analysts' price targets$163.70Our model (Rotation forecast)$148.32Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$109.78Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$154.14Dividend discount (Gordon)$41.56

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$94.66$106.53$121.24-28%
P/E vs peers, weighted$97.67$110.44$132.47-25%
P/E vs peers, matched$96.12$107.70$124.04-27%
Residual income$74.76$77.55$80.51-47%
P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$84.94$99.16$113.38-33%
Analysts' price targets$135.00$163.70$182.00+11%
Our model (Rotation forecast)$138.50$148.32$158.85+0.4%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$95.65$109.78$128.80-26%
Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$129.56$154.14$190.22+4%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$34.93$41.56$51.28-72%

Bank of New York Mellon's latest quarter

Bank of New York Mellon, Q3 2026: revenue $5.7B (+12% year over year), operating margin 38.5%, net earnings $1.7B, operating cash flow $4.7B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for BNY stock?

The median of 15 analysts' 12-month targets is $165.00, +12% from $147.72; the range is $135.00 to $182.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Bank of New York Mellon's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $41.56 and $191.05, with a middle value of $109.53 against a price of $147.72. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Bank of New York Mellon usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.

Is BNY stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.