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Is CIRCLE8 Group (CIRC) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for CIRCLE8 Group on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$51.2M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $800M). Historically 7.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.43× the average). Latest signal (2026-10-21): US-based Circle8 gets second deadline extension for SThree takeover bid.

Share price$0.29
Market value$33.3M
Enterprise value$582M
Cash$19.3M
Debt$568M
Revenue, 12 months$800M
Revenue growth+81%
EBITDA, 12 months−$51.2M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

A leveraged buyout is paid for mostly with debt that the company's own cash flow repays. CIRCLE8 Group's EBITDA over the last 12 months was −$51.2M on revenue of $800M, so there is nothing to lend against and nothing to repay a loan with: a buyer would have to pay almost entirely with its own money. That is the kind of deal another company — a strategic buyer that wants the products, the pipeline or the technology — makes, not a private-equity fund. The model therefore gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, CIRCLE8 Group would cost about $0.41 a share, $46.6M for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)14.7%$0.33$38.2M
Median40%$0.41$46.6M
High end (a quarter paid more)60.2%$0.47$53.3M

The odds, from history

Historically 7.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (1.43× the average). Its figures put it in decile 9 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

Rumors and deal signals

CIRCLE8 Group's latest quarter

CIRCLE8 Group, Q2 2026: revenue $320M (+211% year over year), operating margin -4.8%, net loss $86.4M, operating cash flow −$3.8M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is CIRCLE8 Group being acquired?

The latest signal on file is from 2026-10-21: US-based Circle8 gets second deadline extension for SThree takeover bid. A headline is not a deal; Filing Flows lists the news, 8-K filings and 13D filings about a sale.

Could private equity buy CIRCLE8 Group?

A leveraged buyout does not work for CIRCLE8 Group on its latest figures: it has no positive EBITDA to borrow against (−$51.2M over the last 12 months, on revenue of $800M). With no cash flow to repay a loan, a buyer would pay almost entirely with its own money: a deal for another company (a strategic buyer), not for a private-equity fund.

What would a takeover of CIRCLE8 Group cost?

Takeovers in its sector paid a median premium of 40% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 14.7% to 60.2%), according to the 20 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, CIRCLE8 Group would cost about $0.41 a share, $46.6M for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.