Filing Flows › Capital One Financial (COF) › Stock forecast & fair value
Capital One Financial (COF) stock forecast and fair value
Capital One Financial (COF) trades at $201.87. 21 analysts' median price target is $252.00 (+25%), from $225.00 to $290.00. Across 16 valuation methods the middle fair value is $208.77 (+3%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $196.32 | $215.84 | $251.47 | +7% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $213.50 | $235.55 | $253.51 | +17% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $209.38 | $233.82 | $250.22 | +16% |
| Residual income | $172.41 | $178.63 | $185.20 | -12% |
| P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers) | $162.71 | $206.91 | $251.10 | +2% |
| Analysts' price targets | $225.00 | $255.19 | $290.00 | +26% |
| Our model (Rotation forecast) | $171.88 | $205.50 | $245.69 | +2% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $101.86 | $114.17 | $129.88 | -43% |
| Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth) | $173.41 | $199.03 | $233.52 | -1% |
| Dividend discount (Gordon) | $33.29 | $38.21 | $44.83 | -81% |
Capital One Financial's latest quarter
Capital One Financial, Q3 2026: revenue $16.3B (+6% year over year), operating margin 28.0%, net earnings $3.5B, operating cash flow $5.7B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for COF stock?
The median of 21 analysts' 12-month targets is $252.00, +25% from $201.87; the range is $225.00 to $290.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Capital One Financial's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $38.21 and $372.21, with a middle value of $208.77 against a price of $201.87. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Capital One Financial usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 60% of the quarters on record.
Is COF stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.