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Carvana earnings quality score

How much of the reported profit is backed by cash, and how many markers of managed earnings the filings show

Score36 / 100 · grade D · rank 982 of 1027

Carvana (CVNA) scores 36 of 100 for earnings quality, grade D: rank 982 of 1027 companies and 139 of 141 in consumer-disc. It loses the most points on accruals of +3.4% of assets, higher than 94% of companies, Beneish M-score -1.39: flagged (above −1.78), adjusted earnings 282% above GAAP. It earns full or near-full marks for Dechow F-score 1.18 (above normal), profit steadier than cash flow (smoothness 0.56). Revenue grew 50% in the year: fast growth raises accruals, the Beneish and Dechow scores and the C-score by construction, so a growing company scores lower than a steady one with the same accounting.

What earned and lost points

ComponentWhat the filings showPointsOf
Accrualsaccruals of +3.4% of assets, higher than 94% of companies120
Beneish M-scoreBeneish M-score -1.39: flagged (above −1.78)015
Dechow F-scoreDechow F-score 1.18 (above normal)1315
Montier C-scoreMontier C-score 3 of 5 checks failed615
Discretionary accrualsdiscretionary accruals of +2.8% of assets (modified Jones), smaller than most610
Piotroski F-scorePiotroski F-score 6 of 9710
Non-GAAP gapadjusted earnings 282% above GAAP010
Earnings smoothnessprofit steadier than cash flow (smoothness 0.56)45
CVNA: share of the available points, by componentCVNA: share of the available points, by componentAccruals6%Discretionary accruals55%Dechow F-score88%Montier C-score40%Piotroski F-score67%Earnings smoothness72%

How the score is built

Eight published measures, each scored against the whole universe or on its own scale and weighted: accruals 20, discretionary accruals 10, Beneish M 15, Dechow F 15, Montier C 15, Piotroski F 10, the non-GAAP gap 10, smoothness 5. A measure that cannot be computed (Beneish for a bank, say) drops out and the rest is rescaled, so every company is scored on what applies to it.

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Computed from the companies’ own XBRL filings (latest fiscal year) by published formulas; a statistical screen, not an audit or an accusation. A low score means the reported profit shows more of the markers of managed or low-quality earnings than its peers. Not investment advice.