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CoreCivic (CXW) stock forecast and fair value

CoreCivic (CXW) trades at $28.67. 5 analysts' median price target is $42.00 (+46%), from $40.00 to $45.00. Across 21 valuation methods the middle fair value is $225.65 (+687%).

Price$28.67
Median target$42.00
Fair value, middle$225.65
EPS beat rate80%
CoreCivic fair value by method (price $28.67)CoreCivic fair value by method (price $28.67)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$418.07P/E vs peers, weighted$552.42P/E vs peers, matched$1,065.60P/E vs peers, growth-adjusted$600.69EV/Sales vs peers$253.09EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$337.42EV/Sales vs peers, matched$219.38Residual income$132.42P/FFO vs REIT peers$232.49P/FFO vs REIT peers, weighted$296.55

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$302.13$418.07$573.0215×
P/E vs peers, weighted$393.18$552.42$1,114.2219×
P/E vs peers, matched$669.52$1,065.60$1,796.7737×
P/E vs peers, growth-adjusted$383.72$600.69$940.3321×
EV/Sales vs peers$122.10$253.09$328.78+783%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$249.98$337.42$402.5412×
EV/Sales vs peers, matched$186.77$219.38$240.48+665%
Residual income$126.89$132.42$138.30+362%
P/FFO vs REIT peers$195.09$232.49$331.53+711%
P/FFO vs REIT peers, weighted$229.15$296.55$422.26+934%

CoreCivic's latest quarter

CoreCivic, Q3 2026: revenue $744M (+28% year over year), operating margin 9.0%, net earnings $1.3B, operating cash flow −$413M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for CXW stock?

The median of 5 analysts' 12-month targets is $42.00, +46% from $28.67; the range is $40.00 to $45.00. The average rating is strong buy.

What is CoreCivic's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $0.01 and $1,065.60, with a middle value of $225.65 against a price of $28.67. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does CoreCivic usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is CXW stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.