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Diversified Energy (DEC) stock forecast and fair value

Diversified Energy (DEC) trades at $14.44. 7 analysts' median price target is $19.00 (+32%), from $15.00 to $29.00. Across 24 valuation methods the middle fair value is $30.33 (+110%); the DCF says $178.88.

Price$14.44
Median target$19.00
Fair value, middle$30.33
DCF$178.88
EPS beat rate67%
Diversified Energy fair value by method (price $14.44)Diversified Energy fair value by method (price $14.44)low – highpoint estimateRegime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–9…$395.21DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percent…$178.88P/E vs peers$8.89P/E vs peers, weighted$8.89P/E vs peers, matched$7.04EV/EBITDA vs peers$40.81EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$40.50EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$31.58EV/Sales vs peers$30.33EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$41.55

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th$141.97$395.21$1,383.2627×
DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile$79.78$178.88$311.7412×
P/E vs peers$6.02$8.89$10.63-38%
P/E vs peers, weighted$6.77$8.89$12.03-38%
P/E vs peers, matched$6.02$7.04$9.24-51%
EV/EBITDA vs peers$17.65$40.81$54.79+183%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, weighted$26.78$40.50$54.74+181%
EV/EBITDA vs peers, matched$14.44$31.58$53.64+119%
EV/Sales vs peers$16.50$30.33$58.28+110%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$26.90$41.55$59.75+188%

Diversified Energy's latest quarter

Diversified Energy, Q3 2026: revenue $109M (-78% year over year), operating margin -216.8%, net loss $202M, operating cash flow $136M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for DEC stock?

The median of 7 analysts' 12-month targets is $19.00, +32% from $14.44; the range is $15.00 to $29.00. The average rating is strong buy.

What is Diversified Energy's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $7.04 and $395.21, with a middle value of $30.33 against a price of $14.44. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Diversified Energy usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 67% of the quarters on record.

Is DEC stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.