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Dollar Tree (DLTR) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Dollar Tree gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 29, 2023. Of 3 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (67%). Revenue: 2 of 3, on average -14.3% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 5 times and lowered it once.

Revenue

Dollar Tree Revenue: last guidance vs reportedDollar Tree Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY24Q4 FY25FY25$17.6BFY26$19.4BQ4 FY26$5.5BFY27Q3 FY27

Met or beat 2 of 3 periods (0 above, 2 within, 1 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$5.0B–$5.1B (Aug 27, 2026)—to be reported—
FY27$20.5B–$20.7B (Mar 16, 2026) → reaffirmed $20.5B–$20.7B (May 28, 2026) → reaffirmed $20.5B–$20.7B (Aug 27, 2026)—to be reported—
Q4 FY26$5.4B–$5.5B (Dec 3, 2025)$5.5Bwithin the range+0.0%
FY26$18.5B–$19.1B (Mar 26, 2025) → reaffirmed $18.5B–$19.1B (Jun 4, 2025) → raised $19.3B–$19.5B (Sep 3, 2025) → reaffirmed $19.4B–$19.4B (Dec 3, 2025)$19.4Bwithin the range+0.1%
FY25$31.0B–$32.0B (Mar 13, 2024) → reaffirmed $31.0B–$32.0B (Jun 5, 2024) → lowered $30.6B–$30.9B (Sep 4, 2024) → reaffirmed $30.7B–$30.9B (Dec 4, 2024)$17.6Bbelow the range-42.9%
Q4 FY25$8.1B–$8.3B (Dec 4, 2024)———
FY24$30.5B–$30.7B (Nov 29, 2023)———

EPS

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY25$6.70–$7.30 (Mar 13, 2024)———
Q4 FY24$2.58–$2.78 (Nov 29, 2023)———
FY24$5.81–$6.01 (Nov 29, 2023)———

Adjusted EPS

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q3 FY27$0.80–$0.95 (Aug 27, 2026)—to be reported—
Q2 FY27$1.00–$1.15 (May 28, 2026)———
Q1 FY27$1.45–$1.60 (Mar 16, 2026)———
FY27$6.50–$6.90 (Mar 16, 2026) → raised $6.70–$7.10 (May 28, 2026) → raised $7.70–$8.05 (Aug 27, 2026)—to be reported—
Q4 FY26$2.40–$2.60 (Dec 3, 2025)———
Q1 FY26$1.10–$1.25 (Mar 26, 2025)———
FY26$0.30–$0.35 (Mar 26, 2025) → raised $5.15–$5.65 (Jun 4, 2025) → raised $5.32–$5.72 (Sep 3, 2025) → raised $5.60–$5.80 (Dec 3, 2025)———
Q4 FY25$2.10–$2.30 (Dec 4, 2024)———
Q3 FY25$1.05–$1.15 (Sep 4, 2024)———
FY25$6.50–$7.00 (Jun 5, 2024) → lowered $5.20–$5.60 (Sep 4, 2024) → reaffirmed $5.31–$5.51 (Dec 4, 2024)———

The latest quarter

Dollar Tree, Q2 FY27: revenue $4.9B (+7% year over year), operating margin 14.1%, net earnings $514M, operating cash flow $922M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Dollar Tree beat its guidance?

Dollar Tree gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Nov 29, 2023. Of 3 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (67%). Revenue: 2 of 3, on average -14.3% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Dollar Tree raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 5 times and lowered it once since Nov 29, 2023.

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.