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Encompass Health (EHC): analysis traps

Where its figures could mislead a reader, and what to check before taking them at face value · Data: Q3 2026, to Sep 30, 2026, filed Nov 3, 2026; rules v1.1

Encompass Health (EHC): 0 rules of 10 triggered on the filings to Sep 30, 2026. 1 to review; 3 with insufficient data; 2 not applicable. Each is a question to verify, with the normal explanation that would produce the same figures.

Check these first

Low P/E at a cyclical peak = undervalued To review · confidence medium

Net income of $644M is at a high against a median of $359M over eight years; at 21.3× the market is not pricing it as cheap, but a multiple on this year's profit still understates the mid-cycle one (38.3×).

Every rule

A01 FCF growth = the business improved Not triggered confidence high

Free cash flow rose $79M to $439M; working capital and lower capex explain 0% of it, so most of the gain is in operating cash flow itself.

The figures and how they are read
Fiscal year beforeFY2024
Fiscal yearFY2025
Operating cash flow, year before$1.0B
Operating cash flow$1.2B
Capex, year before$642M
Capex$736M
Free cash flow, year before$360M
Free cash flow$439M
Change in FCF$79M
Change in capex$94M
Working capital: change in its cash contribution−$13M
Of which: capex cut0.00
Of which: working capital released0.00
Share of the increase that need not repeat+0.0%
Operating cash flow before working capital: change185900000.00

FCF = operating cash flow − cash capex; ΔFCF = ΔOCF − ΔCapEx; the working-capital part is the change in the cash-bridge items (receivables, inventory, payables, accruals), with the sign of the cash flow statement

Source: FY2025 (cash flow statement, fiscal year) · FY2024 (cash flow statement, fiscal year before)

A07 Stock compensation added back = no economic cost Not triggered confidence high

Stock compensation is 1.0% of revenue: small enough that adding it back changes little.

The figures and how they are read
Fiscal yearFY2025
Stock compensation$56M
Revenue$5.9B
SBC / revenue+0.9%
Buybacks$158M
Buybacks / SBC2.8
Diluted shares, year before102.2M shares
Diluted shares102.2M shares
Diluted shares: change+0.0%

SBC / revenue from the cash flow statement's add-back; the diluted weighted share count year over year; buybacks from the financing section

Source: FY2025 (stock compensation, buybacks and the diluted share count, fiscal year)

B02 Receivables growing = future cash is certain Not triggered confidence medium

Receivables grew 17% against revenue 9% in Q3 2026; DSO 40 against a median of 38: collections are keeping pace with sales.

The figures and how they are read
QuarterQ3 2026
Revenue, year over year+8.9%
Receivables, year over year+16.6%
Quarter beforeQ2 2026
Revenue y/y, quarter before+9.6%
Receivables y/y, quarter before+12.2%
Days sales outstanding40.0
DSO, median of eight quarters38.1
Receivables$712M
Revenue$1.6B

receivables and revenue against the same quarter a year earlier; DSO = receivables / quarterly revenue × days, against the median of the eight quarters before

Source: Q3 2026 (receivables and revenue) · Q3 2025 (the same quarter a year earlier)

B08 Adjusted profit = economic profit Insufficient data

no reconciliation table read from the releases yet and fewer than three quarters with both an adjusted and a GAAP EPS

C02 Low net debt = no refinancing risk Not triggered confidence medium

$48M comes due within a year, 11.2× covered by cash and investments of $76M plus $457M of free cash flow.

The figures and how they are read
Cash and investments$76M
Debt$2.6B
Net debt$2.5B
Due within a year$48M
Read fromthe current portion of debt on the balance sheet
Free cash flow, twelve months$457M
Cash plus free cash flow$533M
Coverage of what is due11.2
Due in the second year—
Balance sheet date2026-09-30

due within a year from the maturity table (else the current portion of debt), against cash and investments plus free cash flow over the last twelve months (zero if negative); no credit lines assumed

Source: 2026-09-30 (debt maturities, cash and investments)

D03 EPS growth = profit growth Insufficient data

no quarter with EPS, net income and diluted shares for both this year and last

E02 Low P/E at a cyclical peak = undervalued To review confidence medium

Net income of $644M is at a high against a median of $359M over eight years; at 21.3× the market is not pricing it as cheap, but a multiple on this year's profit still understates the mid-cycle one (38.3×).

The figures and how they are read
market value$13.7B
net income ttm$644M
pe ttm21.30
net income median fy$359M
pe mid cycle38.30
net income peak fy$566M
yearsFY2018 / 292.0; FY2019 / 359.0; FY2020 / 284.0; FY2021 / 412.0; FY2022 / 271.0; FY2023 / 352.0; FY2024 / 456.0; FY2025 / 566.0
down years in window2

P/E on the trailing twelve months' net income against the P/E on the median net income of the last eight fiscal years (a mid-cycle stand-in); 'at a peak' = this year's profit at or above 90% of the best year and at least 1.3× the median

Source: Q3 2026 (net income, trailing twelve months)

What would show the trap does not apply

Look again: next filing.

E07 A precise DCF value = the true value Insufficient data

no DCF in the valuation research for this company

J06 A bank's low P/E and high profit = safe Not applicable

not a bank

J08 A REIT's low net income = the dividend is unsafe Not applicable

not a REIT

What the statuses mean

Triggered: the filings show the pattern; read the normal explanations and the missing evidence before concluding anything. To review: one quarter or a weak signal; a reader's judgement, not a pattern. Not triggered: the pattern is absent on these figures. Insufficient data: the filings read so far do not hold what the rule needs; this is not a clean bill. Not applicable: the rule is not meant for this kind of company (a bank's working capital, a loss-making quarter's EPS growth). Out of date: the latest filing is more than fifteen months old.

Severity is what the pattern could mean for cash, value or solvency; confidence is how reliable the inputs and the reading are. The two are kept apart.

Record a view

A reader's judgement, grounds, what would change it and the next review; kept in the browser (needs JavaScript).

Every rule and the companies it triggers on → Encompass Health: cash flow → Earnings quality score →

Each rule reads the company's own filings by a fixed formula and says what would explain the same figures innocently. A triggered rule is a question to verify, not a finding of manipulation, and not a view on the stock. Missing data is shown as missing, never as clear. Not investment advice.