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FedEx (FDX) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

FedEx gave guidance in 13 earnings releases on file since Dec 19, 2023. Of 1 guided period since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 0 times (0%). Tax rate: 0 of 1, on average +2.3 pts against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 3 times and lowered it twice.

Tax rate

FedEx Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedFedEx Tax rate: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q1 FY2627.3%FY27

Met or beat 0 of 1 periods (1 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2722.5% (Oct 28, 2026)—to be reported—
Q1 FY2625.0% (Jun 24, 2025)27.3%above the range+2.3 pts

Capital expenditures

The GAAP figure from the filings is shown for each period reported; it is not judged against the guide, which may leave items out (one-off payments, acquisitions).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY27$3.9B (Oct 28, 2026)—to be reported—
FY26$4.5B (Jun 24, 2025) → reaffirmed $4.5B (Sep 18, 2025) → reaffirmed $4.5B (Dec 18, 2025) → lowered $4.1B (Mar 19, 2026)$3.8B (GAAP)not judged—
FY25$5.2B (Jun 25, 2024) → reaffirmed $5.2B (Sep 19, 2024) → reaffirmed $5.2B (Dec 19, 2024) → lowered $4.9B (Mar 20, 2025)$4.1B (GAAP)not judged—
FY24$5.7B (Dec 19, 2023) → lowered $5.4B (Mar 21, 2024)———

GAAP EPS

Every guided period is still to be reported.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY27−$5.00 (Oct 28, 2026)—to be reported—

Adjusted EPS

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY27−$5.00 (Oct 28, 2026)—to be reported—
FY26$6.00 (Sep 18, 2025) → reaffirmed $6.00 (Dec 18, 2025) → reaffirmed $6.00 (Mar 19, 2026)———
Q1 FY26$3.40–$4.00 (Jun 24, 2025)———
FY25$10.00 (Jun 25, 2024) → lowered $4.00 (Sep 19, 2024) → raised $5.00 (Dec 19, 2024) → raised $6.00 (Mar 20, 2025)———
FY24$6.00 (Dec 19, 2023) → raised $7.00 (Mar 21, 2024)———

The latest quarter

FedEx, Q1 FY27: revenue $22.9B (+12% year over year), operating margin 4.7%, net earnings $290M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does FedEx beat its guidance?

FedEx gave guidance in 13 earnings releases on file since Dec 19, 2023. Of 1 guided period since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 0 times (0%). Tax rate: 0 of 1, on average +2.3 pts against the guided midpoint.

How often does FedEx raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 3 times and lowered it twice since Dec 19, 2023.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.