Filing Flows › Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) › Stock forecast & fair value
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) stock forecast and fair value
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) trades at $235.65. 22 analysts' median price target is $288.00 (+22%), from $235.00 to $325.00. Across 8 valuation methods the middle fair value is $111.21 (-53%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Analysts' price targets | $235.00 | $283.36 | $325.00 | +20% |
| Our model (Rotation forecast) | $184.33 | $228.63 | $283.58 | -3% |
| Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks) | $97.00 | $111.21 | $130.30 | -53% |
| Tangible book (asset value) | $10.47 | $13.08 | $13.08 | -94% |
| Net cash (floor) | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | — |
| Stage-weighted value (pre-revenue) | $3.92 | $4.91 | $4.91 | -98% |
| Combined forecast (3 months) | $193.21 | $245.29 | $303.85 | +4% |
| H-model dividend discount | $33.01 | $37.84 | $44.34 | -84% |
Ferguson Enterprises' latest quarter
Ferguson Enterprises, Q2 2026: revenue $8.8B (+5% year over year), operating margin 10.2%, net earnings $666M, operating cash flow −$56.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for FERG stock?
The median of 22 analysts' 12-month targets is $288.00, +22% from $235.65; the range is $235.00 to $325.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Ferguson Enterprises' fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $0.00 and $283.36, with a middle value of $111.21 against a price of $235.65. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Ferguson Enterprises usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 100% of the quarters on record.
Is FERG stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.