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First Bancorp (FNLC) stock forecast and fair value

First Bancorp (FNLC) trades at $32.97. Across 11 valuation methods the middle fair value is $41.87 (+27%).

Price$32.97
Fair value, middle$41.87
EPS beat rate75%
First Bancorp fair value by method (price $32.97)First Bancorp fair value by method (price $32.97)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$41.87P/E vs peers, weighted$46.36P/E vs peers, matched$41.76Residual income$31.82P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$41.28Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$29.78Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$72.16Dividend discount (Gordon)$42.17Stage-weighted value (financial (ba…$44.64Graham number$44.82

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$38.73$41.87$48.78+27%
P/E vs peers, weighted$41.42$46.36$49.22+41%
P/E vs peers, matched$37.34$41.76$48.13+27%
Residual income$30.64$31.82$33.07-3%
P/TBV vs ROTCE (bank peers)$32.01$41.28$50.56+25%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$24.88$29.78$37.09-10%
Justified P/TBV (Gordon growth)$56.39$72.16$100.19+119%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$32.95$42.17$58.54+28%
Stage-weighted value (financial (bank / insurer))$37.04$44.64$55.99+35%
Graham number$36.59$44.82$51.75+36%

First Bancorp's latest quarter

First Bancorp, Q3 2026: revenue $27.5M (+12% year over year), operating margin 47.1%, net earnings $10.7M, operating cash flow $9.6M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is First Bancorp's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $29.78 and $72.16, with a middle value of $41.87 against a price of $32.97. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does First Bancorp usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 75% of the quarters on record.

Is FNLC stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.