Filing Flows › Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) › Stock forecast & fair value
Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) stock forecast and fair value
Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) trades at $44.26. 10 analysts' median price target is $39.50 (-11%), from $35.00 to $69.00. Across 21 valuation methods the middle fair value is $139.96 (+216%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E vs peers | $88.51 | $126.55 | $180.95 | +186% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $92.98 | $146.36 | $212.37 | +231% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $88.51 | $126.55 | $180.95 | +186% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $93.95 | $139.96 | $205.75 | +216% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $123.48 | $172.41 | $294.27 | +290% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, matched | $93.95 | $139.96 | $205.75 | +216% |
| Residual income | $29.88 | $31.00 | $32.19 | -30% |
| Sum of the parts (segments × peer EV/Sales) | $139.29 | $202.52 | $301.15 | +358% |
| Sum of the parts, weighted (segments × weighted peer EV/Sales) | $191.56 | $272.65 | $450.59 | +516% |
| Sum of the parts, selected (segments × business-model comps) | $154.05 | $217.84 | $304.72 | +392% |
Hilton Grand Vacations' latest quarter
Hilton Grand Vacations, Q3 2026: revenue $2.0B (+51% year over year), operating margin 25.1%, net earnings $291M, operating cash flow $87.0M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for HGV stock?
The median of 10 analysts' 12-month targets is $39.50, -11% from $44.26; the range is $35.00 to $69.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Hilton Grand Vacations' fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $25.85 and $272.65, with a middle value of $139.96 against a price of $44.26. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Hilton Grand Vacations usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 40% of the quarters on record.
Is HGV stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.