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Hartford Insurance Group (HIG) stock forecast and fair value

Hartford Insurance Group (HIG) trades at $137.09. 21 analysts' median price target is $145.00 (+6%), from $135.00 to $163.00. Across 16 valuation methods the middle fair value is $160.81 (+17%).

Price$137.09
Median target$145.00
Fair value, middle$160.81
EPS beat rate80%
Hartford Insurance Group fair value by method (price $137.09)Hartford Insurance Group fair value by method (price $137.09)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$187.33P/E vs peers, weighted$212.01P/E vs peers, matched$214.93Residual income$121.08P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$187.61Analysts' price targets$146.14Our model (Rotation forecast)$127.87Shareholder yield (dividends + buyb…$156.66Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$369.56Dividend discount (Gordon)$59.52

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$128.41$187.33$225.49+37%
P/E vs peers, weighted$171.40$212.01$234.88+55%
P/E vs peers, matched$188.03$214.93$225.49+57%
Residual income$116.55$121.08$125.88-12%
P/B vs ROE (insurer peers)$84.11$187.61$291.12+37%
Analysts' price targets$135.00$146.14$163.00+7%
Our model (Rotation forecast)$108.18$127.87$151.15-7%
Shareholder yield (dividends + buybacks)$131.74$156.66$193.19+14%
Justified P/B (Gordon growth)$292.37$369.56$502.13+170%
Dividend discount (Gordon)$47.09$59.52$80.87-57%

Hartford Insurance Group's latest quarter

Hartford Insurance Group, Q3 2026: revenue $7.2B (+4% year over year), operating margin 21.9%, net earnings $1.3B, operating cash flow $3.0B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for HIG stock?

The median of 21 analysts' 12-month targets is $145.00, +6% from $137.09; the range is $135.00 to $163.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Hartford Insurance Group's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $57.39 and $369.56, with a middle value of $160.81 against a price of $137.09. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Hartford Insurance Group usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.

Is HIG stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.