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Intel (INTC) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Intel gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Jan 25, 2024. Of 9 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 8 times (89%). Revenue: 7 of 7, on average +6.5% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance once and lowered it once.

Revenue

Intel Revenue: last guidance vs reportedIntel Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025$12.7BQ2 2025$12.9BQ3 2025$13.7BQ4 2025$13.7BQ1 2026$13.6BQ2 2026$16.1BQ3 2026$16.5BQ4 2026

Met or beat 7 of 7 periods (4 above, 3 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$15.0B–$16.0B (Oct 29, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$15.8B–$16.8B (Jul 23, 2026)$16.5Bwithin the range+1.3%
Q2 2026$13.8B–$14.8B (Apr 23, 2026)$16.1Babove the range+12.8%
Q1 2026$11.7B–$12.7B (Jan 22, 2026)$13.6Babove the range+11.3%
Q4 2025$12.8B–$13.8B (Oct 23, 2025)$13.7Bwithin the range+2.8%
Q3 2025$12.6B–$13.6B (Jul 24, 2025)$13.7Babove the range+4.2%
Q2 2025$11.2B–$12.4B (Apr 24, 2025)$12.9Babove the range+9.0%
Q1 2025$11.7B–$12.7B (Jan 30, 2025)$12.7Bwithin the range+3.8%
Q4 2024$13.3B–$14.3B (Oct 31, 2024)———
Q3 2024$12.5B–$13.5B (Aug 1, 2024)———

GAAP gross margin

Intel GAAP gross margin: last guidance vs reportedIntel GAAP gross margin: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q2 2026Q3 202643.0%Q4 2026

Met or beat 1 of 1 periods (1 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 202637.1% (Oct 29, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 202641.0% (Jul 23, 2026)43.0%above the range+2.0 pts
Q2 202637.5% (Apr 23, 2026)———
Q2 202534.3% (Apr 24, 2025)———
Q1 202533.8% (Jan 30, 2025)———
Q4 202436.5% (Oct 31, 2024)———
Q3 202434.5% (Aug 1, 2024)———
Q2 202440.2% (Apr 25, 2024)———
Q1 202440.7% (Jan 25, 2024)———

Gross margin

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q1 202632.3% (Jan 22, 2026)———
Q4 202534.5% (Oct 23, 2025)———
Q3 202534.1% (Jul 24, 2025)———

Adjusted gross margin

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 202638.0% (Oct 29, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 202642.0% (Jul 23, 2026)———
Q2 202639.0% (Apr 23, 2026)———

Operating expenses

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$16.0B (Apr 24, 2025)—to be reported—
FY2025$17.5B (Aug 1, 2024) → lowered $17.0B (Apr 24, 2025)———
FY2024$20.0B (Aug 1, 2024)———

Adjusted operating expenses

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2025$18.0B (Jul 24, 2025)———
FY2026$16.0B (Jul 24, 2025)—to be reported—

The latest quarter

Intel, Q3 2026: revenue $16.5B (+21% year over year), operating margin 15.3%, net earnings $3.3B, operating cash flow $5.1B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Intel beat its guidance?

Intel gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Jan 25, 2024. Of 9 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 8 times (89%). Revenue: 7 of 7, on average +6.5% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Intel raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance once and lowered it once since Jan 25, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.