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Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) stock forecast and fair value

Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) trades at $47.38. 6 analysts' median price target is $51.00 (+8%), from $47.00 to $71.00. Across 23 valuation methods the middle fair value is $101.92 (+115%).

Price$47.38
Median target$51.00
Fair value, middle$101.92
EPS beat rate50%
Jefferies Financial Group fair value by method (price $47.38)Jefferies Financial Group fair value by method (price $47.38)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$57.65P/E vs peers, weighted$61.51P/E vs peers, matched$57.08EV/Sales vs peers$160.61EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$341.15EV/Sales vs peers, matched$117.98Residual income$42.65Sum of the parts (segments × peer E…$148.95Sum of the parts, weighted (segment…$318.83Sum of the parts, selected (segment…$163.35

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$49.04$57.65$76.15+22%
P/E vs peers, weighted$50.90$61.51$108.48+30%
P/E vs peers, matched$48.59$57.08$71.59+20%
EV/Sales vs peers$71.40$160.61$332.38+239%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$119.80$341.15$368.13+620%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched$68.22$117.98$315.25+149%
Residual income$41.19$42.65$44.18-10%
Sum of the parts (segments × peer EV/Sales)$68.75$148.95$302.52+214%
Sum of the parts, weighted (segments × weighted peer EV/Sales)$122.42$318.83$373.94+573%
Sum of the parts, selected (segments × business-model comps)$82.62$163.35$305.87+245%

Jefferies Financial Group's latest quarter

Jefferies Financial Group, Q3 FY26: revenue $3.2B (+11% year over year), operating margin 10.9%, net earnings $288M, operating cash flow $2.6B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for JEF stock?

The median of 6 analysts' 12-month targets is $51.00, +8% from $47.38; the range is $47.00 to $71.00. The average rating is buy.

What is Jefferies Financial Group's fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $20.79 and $341.15, with a middle value of $101.92 against a price of $47.38. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does Jefferies Financial Group usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 50% of the quarters on record.

Is JEF stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.