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LGI Homes (LGIH) stock forecast and fair value

LGI Homes (LGIH) trades at $45.57. One analyst's price target is $93.00 (+104%). Across 19 valuation methods the middle fair value is $38.96 (-15%).

Price$45.57
Median target$93.00
Fair value, middle$38.96
EPS beat rate60%
LGI Homes fair value by method (price $45.57)LGI Homes fair value by method (price $45.57)low – highpoint estimateP/E vs peers$42.33P/E vs peers, weighted$38.35P/E vs peers, matched$41.79EV/Sales vs peers$2.41EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$35.02EV/Sales vs peers, matched$8.30Residual income$72.58Sum of the parts (segments × peer E…$4.65Sum of the parts, weighted (segment…$38.96Analysts' price targets$93.00

Fair value by method

MethodLowPointHighvs price
P/E vs peers$38.80$42.33$44.33-7%
P/E vs peers, weighted$30.06$38.35$44.16-16%
P/E vs peers, matched$37.63$41.79$46.79-8%
EV/Sales vs peers−$17.74$2.41$39.67-95%
EV/Sales vs peers, weighted$10.37$35.02$46.72-23%
EV/Sales vs peers, matched−$17.25$8.30$42.14-82%
Residual income$69.97$72.58$75.35+59%
Sum of the parts (segments × peer EV/Sales)−$18.11$4.65$44.12-90%
Sum of the parts, weighted (segments × weighted peer EV/Sales)−$9.04$38.96$47.69-15%
Analysts' price targets$93.00$93.00$93.00+104%

LGI Homes' latest quarter

LGI Homes, Q3 2026: revenue $444M (+10% year over year), operating margin 7.5%, net earnings $24.6M, operating cash flow $38.9M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

What is the price target for LGIH stock?

One analyst's 12-month target is $93.00, +104% from $45.57. The average rating is none.

What is LGI Homes' fair value?

The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $2.41 and $93.00, with a middle value of $38.96 against a price of $45.57. Each method's assumptions are on the page.

Does LGI Homes usually beat earnings estimates?

It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 60% of the quarters on record.

Is LGIH stock a buy?

Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.