Filing Flows › Marriott International (MAR) › Stock forecast & fair value
Marriott International (MAR) stock forecast and fair value
Marriott International (MAR) trades at $417.28. 26 analysts' median price target is $420.00 (+0.7%), from $302.00 to $478.00. Across 21 valuation methods the middle fair value is $226.01 (-46%); the DCF says $172.06.
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regime-switching Monte Carlo 10th–90th | $124.94 | $251.69 | $599.74 | -40% |
| DCF — Monte Carlo 10th–90th percentile | $122.15 | $172.06 | $236.75 | -59% |
| P/E vs peers | $170.44 | $223.72 | $280.76 | -46% |
| P/E vs peers, weighted | $167.79 | $229.22 | $392.88 | -45% |
| P/E vs peers, matched | $135.06 | $171.89 | $194.96 | -59% |
| EV/Sales vs peers | $211.91 | $273.79 | $327.14 | -34% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $224.21 | $308.33 | $524.67 | -26% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, matched | $133.65 | $226.01 | $275.48 | -46% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, growth & margin adjusted | $180.78 | $273.27 | $413.51 | -35% |
| Analysts' price targets | $302.00 | $415.81 | $478.00 | -0.4% |
Marriott International's latest quarter
Marriott International, Q3 2026: revenue $7.0B (+8% year over year), operating margin 18.2%, net earnings $794M, operating cash flow $1.4B. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for MAR stock?
The median of 26 analysts' 12-month targets is $420.00, +0.7% from $417.28; the range is $302.00 to $478.00. The average rating is buy.
What is Marriott International's fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between $41.98 and $433.62, with a middle value of $226.01 against a price of $417.28. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Marriott International usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 80% of the quarters on record.
Is MAR stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.