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MediaAlpha (MAX) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

MediaAlpha gave guidance in 3 earnings releases on file since Apr 29, 2026. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +7.7% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 3 times and lowered it 0 times.

Revenue

MediaAlpha Revenue: last guidance vs reportedMediaAlpha Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2026$317MQ3 2026$376MQ4 2026

Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (2 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$355M–$375M (Oct 28, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$330M–$355M (Jul 29, 2026)$376Mabove the range+9.8%
Q2 2026$290M–$310M (Apr 29, 2026)$317Mabove the range+5.6%

Free cash flow

Every guided period is still to be reported.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$45.0M (Jul 29, 2026)—to be reported—

Adjusted EBITDA

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$36.0M–$39.0M (Oct 28, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$32.0M–$35.0M (Jul 29, 2026)———
Q2 2026$28.0M–$30.5M (Apr 29, 2026)———

The latest quarter

MediaAlpha, Q3 2026: revenue $376M (+23% year over year), operating margin 7.7%, net earnings $25.8M, operating cash flow $21.6M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does MediaAlpha beat its guidance?

MediaAlpha gave guidance in 3 earnings releases on file since Apr 29, 2026. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +7.7% against the guided midpoint.

How often does MediaAlpha raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 3 times and lowered it 0 times since Apr 29, 2026.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.