Filing Flows › Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) › Stock forecast & fair value
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) stock forecast and fair value
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals (MDGL) trades at $399.63. 18 analysts' median price target is $661.50 (+66%), from $479.00 to $962.00. Across 15 valuation methods the middle fair value is $277.70 (-31%).
Fair value by method
| Method | Low | Point | High | vs price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EV/Sales vs peers | $127.92 | $204.54 | $376.32 | -49% |
| EV/Sales vs peers, weighted | $173.58 | $277.70 | $426.38 | -31% |
| Residual income | −$0.60 | −$0.57 | −$0.53 | -100% |
| Analysts' price targets | $479.00 | $688.94 | $962.00 | +72% |
| Path-to-margin DCF | $227.03 | $350.57 | $473.81 | -12% |
| Path-to-margin DCF, dilution-adjusted | $227.03 | $350.57 | $473.81 | -12% |
| Exit-multiple (venture) method | $195.13 | $325.83 | $662.22 | -18% |
| EV/Sales vs Rule of 40 (all-company fit) | $88.56 | $207.31 | $533.08 | -48% |
| Survival-weighted value | $224.90 | $347.21 | $469.20 | -13% |
| Stage-weighted value (pre-profit / high growth) | $179.63 | $294.26 | $499.96 | -26% |
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' latest quarter
Madrigal Pharmaceuticals, Q3 2026: revenue $431M (+50% year over year), operating margin 13.0%, net earnings $55.4M, operating cash flow $121M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.
Questions
What is the price target for MDGL stock?
The median of 18 analysts' 12-month targets is $661.50, +66% from $399.63; the range is $479.00 to $962.00. The average rating is strong buy.
What is Madrigal Pharmaceuticals' fair value?
The fair-value methods on Filing Flows (DCF, Monte Carlo, peer multiples and others) put it between −$0.57 and $688.94, with a middle value of $277.70 against a price of $399.63. Each method's assumptions are on the page.
Does Madrigal Pharmaceuticals usually beat earnings estimates?
It beat the consensus EPS estimate in 50% of the quarters on record.
Is MDGL stock a buy?
Filing Flows does not give advice. It shows what analysts expect, what each valuation method implies and the figures behind them, read from SEC filings, so you can judge for yourself.
Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.