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MKS (MKSI) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

MKS gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 7, 2024. Of 18 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 16 times (89%). Revenue: 7 of 7, on average +3.6% against the guided midpoint.

Revenue

MKS Revenue: last guidance vs reportedMKS Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2024Q1 2025$936MQ2 2025$973MQ3 2025$988MQ4 2025$1.0BQ1 2026$1.1BQ2 2026$1.2BQ3 2026$1.4BQ4 2026

Met or beat 7 of 7 periods (4 above, 3 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$1.4B–$1.5B (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$1.3B–$1.4B (Aug 5, 2026)$1.4Babove the range+4.7%
Q2 2026$1.2B–$1.2B (May 6, 2026)$1.2Babove the range+4.0%
Q1 2026$1.0B–$1.1B (Feb 17, 2026)$1.1Bwithin the range+3.6%
Q4 2025$950M–$1.0B (Nov 5, 2025)$1.0Babove the range+4.3%
Q3 2025$920M–$1.0B (Aug 6, 2025)$988Mwithin the range+2.9%
Q2 2025$885M–$965M (May 7, 2025)$973Mabove the range+5.2%
Q1 2025$935M (Feb 12, 2025)$936Mwithin the range+0.1%
Q2 2024$868M (May 8, 2024)———

Adjusted revenue

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2024$870M–$950M (Nov 6, 2024)———
Q3 2024$830M–$910M (Aug 7, 2024)———
Q2 2024$820M–$900M (May 8, 2024)———
Q1 2024$800M–$880M (Feb 7, 2024)———

Gross margin

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 202646.5%–48.5% (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 202646.0%–48.0% (Aug 5, 2026)———
Q2 202646.0%–48.0% (May 6, 2026)———
Q1 202645.0%–47.0% (Feb 17, 2026)———
Q4 202545.0%–47.0% (Nov 5, 2025)———
Q3 202545.5%–47.5% (Aug 6, 2025)———
Q2 202545.5%–47.5% (May 7, 2025)———

GAAP operating expenses

MKS GAAP operating expenses: last guidance vs reportedMKS GAAP operating expenses: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q2 2025$318MQ3 2025$323MQ4 2025$336MQ2 2026$344MQ3 2026$348MQ4 2026

Met or beat 3 of 5 periods (2 above, 3 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$350M–$360M (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$341M–$351M (Aug 5, 2026)$348Mwithin the range+0.6%
Q2 2026$332M–$342M (May 6, 2026)$344Mabove the range+2.1%
Q4 2025$320M–$330M (Nov 5, 2025)$336Mabove the range+3.4%
Q3 2025$313M–$323M (Aug 6, 2025)$323Mwithin the range+1.6%
Q2 2025$311M–$321M (May 7, 2025)$318Mwithin the range+0.6%

Adjusted operating expenses

The guide is on an adjusted basis that the GAAP statements do not show, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$283M–$293M (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$275M–$285M (Aug 5, 2026)———
Q2 2026$270M–$280M (May 6, 2026)———
Q1 2026$265M–$275M (Feb 17, 2026)———
Q4 2025$250M–$260M (Nov 5, 2025)———
Q3 2025$247M–$257M (Aug 6, 2025)———
Q2 2025$247M–$257M (May 7, 2025)———

GAAP net income

MKS GAAP net income: last guidance vs reportedMKS GAAP net income: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)Q1 2025$52.0MQ2 2025$62.0MQ3 2025$74.0MQ4 2025$107MQ2 2026$175MQ3 2026$237MQ4 2026

Met or beat 6 of 6 periods (5 above, 1 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
Q4 2026$266M–$322M (Nov 4, 2026)—to be reported—
Q3 2026$178M–$224M (Aug 5, 2026)$237Mabove the range+17.9%
Q2 2026$130M–$172M (May 6, 2026)$175Mabove the range+15.9%
Q4 2025$74.0M (Nov 5, 2025)$107Mabove the range+44.6%
Q3 2025$62.0M (Aug 6, 2025)$74.0Mabove the range+19.4%
Q2 2025$52.0M (May 7, 2025)$62.0Mabove the range+19.2%
Q1 2025$24.0M–$62.0M (Feb 12, 2025)$52.0Mwithin the range+20.9%

The latest quarter

MKS, Q3 2026: revenue $1.4B (+43% year over year), operating margin 23.1%, net earnings $237M, operating cash flow $292M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does MKS beat its guidance?

MKS gave guidance in 12 earnings releases on file since Feb 7, 2024. Of 18 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance 16 times (89%). Revenue: 7 of 7, on average +3.6% against the guided midpoint.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.