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Is MSG Knickerbockers (MSGK) a takeover target?

A leveraged buyout does not work for MSG Knickerbockers on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 2.8% ($32.0M on revenue of $1.2B), too thin to carry buyout debt. Historically 4.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.83× the average).

Share price$396.10
Market value$9.6B
Enterprise value$9.7B
Cash$165M
Debt$242M
Revenue, 12 months$1.2B
Revenue growth+11%
EBITDA, 12 months$32.0M

Why a leveraged buyout does not fit

MSG Knickerbockers kept 2.8% of its revenue as EBITDA over the last 12 months ($32.0M on $1.2B). A margin that thin cannot carry the debt a leveraged buyout needs — a small dip in sales would leave nothing for interest — so the model gives no buyout price.

What a takeover could cost

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, MSG Knickerbockers would cost about $524.83 a share, $12.7B for all its shares.

Premium%Price a shareAll shares
Low end (a quarter of deals paid less)20%$475.32$11.5B
Median32.5%$524.83$12.7B
High end (a quarter paid more)51.8%$601.28$14.5B

The odds, from history

Historically 4.2% of companies with its figures were bought within a year (0.83× the average). Its figures put it in decile 4 of 10 (10 = the most likely to be bought). The odds come from a model of every merger proxy, tender-offer response and going-private statement filed on EDGAR since 2011, set against each company's size, margins, debt, cash flow and growth the year before.

MSG Knickerbockers' latest quarter

MSG Knickerbockers, Q1 FY27: revenue $45.5M (+15% year over year), operating margin -56.0%, net loss $31.1M, operating cash flow −$146M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Is MSG Knickerbockers being acquired?

No headline, 8-K or 13D about a sale is on file in the last year.

Could private equity buy MSG Knickerbockers?

A leveraged buyout does not work for MSG Knickerbockers on its latest figures: its EBITDA margin is only 2.8% ($32.0M on revenue of $1.2B), too thin to carry buyout debt. A margin that thin leaves almost nothing to pay interest with, so buyout debt does not fit.

What would a takeover of MSG Knickerbockers cost?

Takeovers on record paid a median premium of 32.5% over the share price before the deal (the middle half 20% to 51.8%), according to the 1,437 merger proxies and tender-offer responses on EDGAR that state a premium. At the median, MSG Knickerbockers would cost about $524.83 a share, $12.7B for all its shares.

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Updated Nov 8, 2026. Read automatically from SEC filings and public data; errors are possible. Not investment advice.