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Natera (NTRA) guidance history: what it guided and what it reported

Natera gave guidance in 13 earnings releases on file since Aug 8, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +4.2% against the guided midpoint. Its releases raised guidance 6 times and lowered it 0 times.

Revenue

Natera Revenue: last guidance vs reportedNatera Revenue: last guidance vs reportedguided rangereported (above / within / below)FY2024$1.7BFY2025$2.3BFY2026

Met or beat 2 of 2 periods (2 above, 0 within, 0 below).

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$2.6B–$2.7B (Feb 26, 2026) → raised $2.7B–$2.8B (May 7, 2026) → raised $2.9B–$2.9B (Aug 6, 2026) → raised $3.0B–$3.0B (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY2025$1.9B–$1.9B (Feb 27, 2025) → raised $1.9B–$2.0B (May 8, 2025) → raised $2.0B–$2.1B (Aug 7, 2025) → raised $2.2B–$2.3B (Nov 6, 2025)$2.3Babove the range+3.9%
FY2024$1.5B–$1.5B (Aug 8, 2024) → raised $1.6B–$1.6B (Nov 12, 2024)$1.7Babove the range+4.4%

Gross margin

This line is not in the statements Filing Flows reads, so there is no reported figure to hold it to.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY202663.0%–65.0% (Feb 26, 2026) → raised 64.0%–66.0% (May 7, 2026) → reaffirmed 64.0%–66.0% (Aug 6, 2026) → reaffirmed 64.0%–66.0% (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—
FY202458.0%–61.0% (Nov 12, 2024)———

Net income

Every guided period is still to be reported.

PeriodGuided (and how it moved)ReportedResultvs midpoint
FY2026$212M (Nov 5, 2026)—to be reported—

The latest quarter

Natera, Q3 2026: revenue $794M (+34% year over year), operating margin -8.6%, net loss $59.9M, operating cash flow $43.9M. The chart follows the revenue to costs, profit and cash.

Questions

Does Natera beat its guidance?

Natera gave guidance in 13 earnings releases on file since Aug 8, 2024. Of 2 guided periods since reported, it met or beat its own guidance twice (100%). Revenue: 2 of 2, on average +4.2% against the guided midpoint.

How often does Natera raise guidance?

Its earnings releases raised guidance 6 times and lowered it 0 times since Aug 8, 2024.

Latest guidance and outlook →

Each guided period is held to the last guidance given before its figures were reported; a single figure counts as in line within 1% (0.25 pts for a rate). Reported figures are GAAP, from the company's filings; adjusted guidance shows its moves only.